What pays more on your base acres for a typical farm here, crop by crop. 2026 signup ends Dec 11.
Is your farm’s PLC yield lower, about the same, or higher than most farms here?
Your PLC yield is on your farm’s FSA-156EZ. Not sure? Leave it on About the same.
Your main crops
Clear pickLeansCloseNo answer yet
Wheat · irrigated
ARC-COLeans
ARC-CO comes out about $3 more per base acre, but that swings from year to year. PLC did not come out ahead in any of the 11 price years we ran. Wheat borrows corn’s price swings, so it stops at Leans.
PLC only pays if wheat averages under $6.35 a bushel for 2026.
Figured with the county’s all-practice PLC yield; an irrigated farm’s own is often higher.
Non-irrigated ground: either one.
2027: no 2027 price yet
Either oneClose
They come out about $2 apart per base acre. Too small to matter.
PLC only pays if wheat averages under $6.35 a bushel for 2026.
Figured with the county’s all-practice PLC yield; an irrigated farm’s own is often higher.
Non-irrigated ground: ask your FSA office.
2027: no 2027 price yet
Either oneClose
They come out less than $1 apart per base acre.
PLC only pays if wheat averages under $6.35 a bushel for 2026.
Figured with the county’s all-practice PLC yield; an irrigated farm’s own is often higher.
Non-irrigated ground: ask your FSA office.
2027: no 2027 price yet
Corn · irrigated
ARC-COLeans
ARC-CO comes out about $5 more per base acre, but that swings from year to year. PLC did not come out ahead in any of the 11 price years we ran.
PLC only pays if corn averages under $4.42 a bushel for 2026.
Figured with the county’s all-practice PLC yield; an irrigated farm’s own is often higher.
Non-irrigated ground: ask your FSA office.
2027: close, either one
ARC-COLeans
ARC-CO comes out about $5 more per base acre, but that swings from year to year. PLC did not come out ahead in any of the 11 price years we ran.
PLC only pays if corn averages under $4.42 a bushel for 2026.
Figured with the county’s all-practice PLC yield; an irrigated farm’s own is often higher.
Non-irrigated ground: ask your FSA office.
2027: close, either one
ARC-COLeans
ARC-CO comes out about $5 more per base acre, but that swings from year to year. PLC did not come out ahead in any of the 11 price years we ran.
PLC only pays if corn averages under $4.42 a bushel for 2026.
Figured with the county’s all-practice PLC yield; an irrigated farm’s own is often higher.
Non-irrigated ground: ask your FSA office.
2027: close, either one
Smaller crops here
Each has under 1,300 enrolled base acres in the whole county (FSA, program year 2025).
Sunflower seed
Either oneClose
They come out about $1 apart per base acre. Too small to matter.
PLC only pays if sunflower seed averages under 23.75 cents a pound for 2026.
2027: waiting on USDA’s closing 2025 price
Either oneClose
They come out about $1 apart per base acre. Too small to matter.
PLC only pays if sunflower seed averages under 23.75 cents a pound for 2026.
2027: waiting on USDA’s closing 2025 price
Either oneClose
They come out about $1 apart per base acre. Too small to matter.
PLC only pays if sunflower seed averages under 23.75 cents a pound for 2026.
2027: waiting on USDA’s closing 2025 price
Oats
Ask FSANo answer yet
FSA’s county average PLC yield is above the county benchmark yield, so there is no typical-farm answer. Ask your FSA office.
2027: ask your FSA office
Ask FSANo answer yet
FSA’s county average PLC yield is above the county benchmark yield, so there is no typical-farm answer. Ask your FSA office.
2027: ask your FSA office
Ask FSANo answer yet
FSA’s county average PLC yield is above the county benchmark yield, so there is no typical-farm answer. Ask your FSA office.
2027: ask your FSA office
Barley
Ask FSANo answer yet
FSA’s county average PLC yield is above the county benchmark yield, so there is no typical-farm answer. Ask your FSA office.
2027: ask your FSA office
Ask FSANo answer yet
FSA’s county average PLC yield is above the county benchmark yield, so there is no typical-farm answer. Ask your FSA office.
2027: ask your FSA office
Ask FSANo answer yet
FSA’s county average PLC yield is above the county benchmark yield, so there is no typical-farm answer. Ask your FSA office.
2027: ask your FSA office
Sorghum
ARC-COLeans
ARC-CO comes out about $7 more per base acre, but that swings from year to year. PLC did not come out ahead in any of the 11 price years we ran. Sorghum borrows corn’s price swings, so it stops at Leans.
PLC only pays if sorghum averages under $4.67 a bushel for 2026.
2027: waiting on USDA’s closing 2025 price
ARC-COLeans
ARC-CO comes out about $5 more per base acre, but that swings from year to year. PLC did not come out ahead in any of the 11 price years we ran. Sorghum borrows corn’s price swings, so it stops at Leans.
PLC only pays if sorghum averages under $4.67 a bushel for 2026.
2027: waiting on USDA’s closing 2025 price
ARC-COLeans
ARC-CO comes out about $4 more per base acre, but that swings from year to year. PLC did not come out ahead in any of the 11 price years we ran. Sorghum borrows corn’s price swings, so it stops at Leans.
PLC only pays if sorghum averages under $4.67 a bushel for 2026.
2027: waiting on USDA’s closing 2025 price
Flaxseed
ARC-COLeans
ARC-CO comes out about $3 more per base acre, but that swings from year to year. PLC did not come out ahead in any of the 11 price years we ran. Flaxseed borrows corn’s price swings, so it stops at Leans.
PLC only pays if flaxseed averages under $13.30 a bushel for 2026.
2027: no 2027 price yet
ARC-COLeans
ARC-CO comes out about $2 more per base acre, but that swings from year to year. PLC did not come out ahead in any of the 11 price years we ran. Flaxseed borrows corn’s price swings, so it stops at Leans.
PLC only pays if flaxseed averages under $13.30 a bushel for 2026.
2027: no 2027 price yet
Either oneClose
They come out about $1 apart per base acre. Too small to matter.
PLC only pays if flaxseed averages under $13.30 a bushel for 2026.
2027: no 2027 price yet
Soybeans
Neither expected to payClose
Neither one is likely to pay on soybeans for 2026 at USDA’s price outlook ($12.00).
PLC only pays if soybeans average under $10.71 a bushel for 2026.
2027: leans ARC-CO
Neither expected to payClose
Neither one is likely to pay on soybeans for 2026 at USDA’s price outlook ($12.00).
PLC only pays if soybeans average under $10.71 a bushel for 2026.
2027: leans ARC-CO
Neither expected to payClose
Neither one is likely to pay on soybeans for 2026 at USDA’s price outlook ($12.00).
PLC only pays if soybeans average under $10.71 a bushel for 2026.
2027: leans ARC-CO
Dry peas
Either oneClose
They come out about $1 apart per base acre. Too small to matter.
PLC only pays if dry peas average under 13.14 cents a pound for 2026.
2027: no 2027 price yet
Either oneClose
They come out about $2 apart per base acre. Too small to matter.
PLC only pays if dry peas average under 13.14 cents a pound for 2026.
2027: no 2027 price yet
Ask FSANo answer yet
A PLC yield that high is above the county benchmark yield, so this page cannot figure it. Ask your FSA office.
2027: ask your FSA office
Deadlines
Dec 112026 signup ends Dec 11, 2026.
Nov 2 to Mar 152027 signup runs Nov 2, 2026 to Mar 15, 2027.
Skip itDo nothing for 2026 and that farm gets no 2026 payment.
SignEvery owner and operator on the farm signs.
BringBring the farm’s FSA-156EZ. It lists the base acres and PLC yields.
2026. The 2026 crop is mostly harvested, so each scenario uses a normal Deuel County crop (FSA’s 2026 benchmark yield) and only the price moves.
Prices start from USDA’s projected 2026/27 season-average prices (USDA WASDE, Oct 9, 2026: wheat $6.30, corn $4.70, oats $3.35, barley $5.70, sorghum $4.50, soybeans $12.00; FSA table of Sep 11, 2026: sunflower seed $0.2470, flaxseed $13.00, dry peas $0.1120). Around that price we ran each past year with a final USDA price: how far that year’s final season-average
price ended from October futures, for corn and soybeans. Wheat, sunflower seed, oats, barley, sorghum, flaxseed, dry peas have no October futures history of their own, so they borrow corn’s October swings (wheat its own price changes, scaled to corn’s size) and stop at Leans.
Two price starts. Corn: USDA $4.70; futures-based $4.97 (Dec '26 October average so far, $5.01 over 5 of 22 trading days, × 0.991, the 2015 to 2025 average of final price / October futures). Here, the typical farm’s answer at that start: neither expected to pay, against leans ARC-CO at USDA’s start. Soybeans: USDA $12.00; futures-based $12.84 (Nov '26 October average so far, $12.89 over 5 of 22 trading days, × 0.996, the 2015 to 2025 average of final price / October futures). Here, the typical farm’s answer at that start: neither expected to pay (the same). Where the two disagree on which program leads, or on a clear pick, a clear pick drops to Leans.
2027. Corn and soybeans start from futures: corn $4.91 (Dec 2027 corn futures $5.12 (Oct 9, 2026) × 0.959, the 2011 to 2025 average of final MYA / February futures); soybeans $12.17 (Nov 2027 soybean futures $12.45 (Oct 9, 2026) × 0.978, the 2011 to 2025 average of final MYA / February futures). Each scenario year also moves the county yield the way it moved that year. Wheat, oats, barley, flaxseed, dry peas: no 2027 price outlook we can check against past years, so no 2027 answer. Sunflower seed, sorghum wait on USDA’s closing 2025 price, which sets the 2027 reference price.
Typical farm. FSA’s county average PLC yield (wheat 40.7 bu; corn 104.1 bu; sunflower seed 892.3 lb; oats 49.2 bu; barley 41.0 bu; sorghum 42.2 bu; flaxseed 12.0 bu; soybeans 9.0 bu; dry peas 1,292.0 lb) and FSA’s official benchmark. “Lower” and “Higher” mean 15% under or over the
county average. Payments are per base acre and count FSA’s 85% payment acres, before sequestration and payment limits.
How we call it.Clear pick when one program averages at least $2.00 more per base acre, the gap is more than t times its standard error
(2.26 for 10 years, 2.23 for 11), and it paid more in at least 3 of the years. Leans when the gap is at least $3.00 and one standard error, and it paid more in
at least 3 years. Close otherwise. When both round to $0: neither expected to pay.
Average payment per base acre over the scenario years, typical farm (about the same PLC yield).
Crop
Practice
Year
PLC
ARC-CO
Answer
Wheat
Non-irrigated
2026
none
none
Ask FSA
Wheat
Non-irrigated
2027
none
none
Ask FSA
Wheat
Irrigated
2026
$7.50
$9.44
Either one
Wheat
Irrigated
2027
none
none
No 2027 price yet
Corn
Non-irrigated
2026
none
none
Ask FSA
Corn
Non-irrigated
2027
none
none
Ask FSA
Corn
Irrigated
2026
$0.74
$5.72
Leans ARC-CO
Corn
Irrigated
2027
$8.08
$9.52
Either one
Sunflower seed
All practices
2026
$1.24
$0
Either one
Sunflower seed
All practices
2027
none
none
Wait for USDA
Oats
All practices
2026
none
none
Ask FSA
Oats
All practices
2027
none
none
Ask FSA
Barley
All practices
2026
none
none
Ask FSA
Barley
All practices
2027
none
none
Ask FSA
Sorghum
All practices
2026
$8.98
$14.19
Leans ARC-CO
Sorghum
All practices
2027
none
none
Wait for USDA
Flaxseed
All practices
2026
$5.85
$7.99
Leans ARC-CO
Flaxseed
All practices
2027
none
none
No 2027 price yet
Soybeans
All practices
2026
$0
$0
Neither pays
Soybeans
All practices
2027
$0.73
$20.09
Leans ARC-CO
Dry peas
All practices
2026
$21.31
$19.52
Either one
Dry peas
All practices
2027
none
none
No 2027 price yet
FSA lists a benchmark here but no enrolled base for large chickpeas, safflower.
Sources. FSA 2026 ARC-CO benchmark yields (county file of Jan 16, 2026); FSA county average PLC yields, program year 2025; FSA price tables of Sep 11, 2026; USDA WASDE, Oct 9, 2026; CME futures: Dec 2026 corn and Nov 2026 soybean October average through Oct 8, 2026; Dec 2027 corn and Nov 2027 soybean close of Oct 9, 2026; USDA NASS season-average prices for closed marketing years; FSA ARC-CO county files, program years 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 (county yields and payments). Full method and back-test.
Wheat 2026 in Deuel County: Close, either one
Non-irrigated: no typical-farm verdict. FSA’s average PLC yield for the county (40.7 bu) covers all practices and is above this benchmark (39.58 bu), so it does not describe a typical farm here. Run your own PLC yield below.
Irrigated, 2026: Close, either one: about $1.94 apart, too small or too uncertain to call (expected $7.50 PLC vs $9.44 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 0 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 6).
PLC pays on any season-average price below $6.35, up to $90.98 per base acre at the $3.72 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $44.02 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 6 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $6.30, PLC is expected to pay $7.50 and ARC-CO $9.44 per base acre.
2027: No 2027 price yet: there is no 2027 price outlook for this crop we can check against past years, so no call. Type a price in the calculator to see the dollars. The 2027 view uses FSA’s 2026 benchmark; FSA posts 2027 later.
For a typical farm: FSA’s county average PLC yield 40.7 bu (program year 2025) and the official 61.83 bu benchmark. That PLC yield is FSA’s average over all practices, irrigated and not; an irrigated farm’s own is often higher. County yields from this county’s own FSA yields. Run your own numbers in the calculator below.
Average PLC yield on enrolled wheat base in this county: 40.7 bu (FSA, program year 2025). Your farm’s own is on the FSA-156EZ.
Irrigated: official 2026 ARC-CO benchmark
Benchmark yield (FSA)61.83 bu
Benchmark price 2026$6.98
Benchmark revenue$431.57/ac
Guarantee (90%)$388.42/ac
Max payment (12%)$51.79/ac
Max per base acre (×85%)$44.02
FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 48.6 · 2021: 72.5 · 2022: 64.4 · 2023: 45.9 (dropped) · 2024: 73.52 (dropped) (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 61.83 bu.
At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($6.35/bu), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the
county yield comes in below 61.2 bu, reaching its cap below 53.0 bu.
PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 61.83 bu county yield, 2026 prices
PLC yield, % of your official benchmark
Which pays more, by season-average price
60% 37.1 bu
PLC pays more at $4.95 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $4.96 to $6.17. Both pay the same at $6.18. PLC pays more from $6.19 to $6.34. Neither pays at $6.35 or higher.
70% 43.3 bu
PLC pays more at $5.15 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $5.16 to $6.12. PLC pays more from $6.13 to $6.34. Neither pays at $6.35 or higher.
80% 49.5 bu
PLC pays more at $5.30 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $5.31 to $6.00. PLC pays more from $6.01 to $6.34. Neither pays at $6.35 or higher.
90% 55.6 bu
PLC pays more at $5.41 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $5.42 to $5.67. PLC pays more from $5.68 to $6.34. Neither pays at $6.35 or higher.
100% 61.8 bu
PLC pays more at $6.34 or lower. Neither pays at $6.35 or higher.
FSA history, irrigated
Year
Benchmark
Price
County yield
ARC-CO $/ac
2021
60.00
$5.50
72.00
none
2022
60.10
$5.50
64.00
none
2023
61.33
$5.50
45.42
none
2024
59.93
$6.21
73.32
none
2025
58.16
$6.98
74.00
none
Program year; benchmark yield in bu/acre; benchmark price $/bu; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.
Non-irrigated: official 2026 ARC-CO benchmark
Benchmark yield (FSA)39.58 bu
Benchmark price 2026$6.98
Benchmark revenue$276.27/ac
Guarantee (90%)$248.64/ac
Max payment (12%)$33.15/ac
Max per base acre (×85%)$28.18
FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 36.95 · 2021: 45.5 · 2022: 29.2 (dropped) · 2023: 36.28 · 2024: 48.38 (dropped) (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 39.58 bu.
At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($6.35/bu), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the
county yield comes in below 39.2 bu, reaching its cap below 33.9 bu.
PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 39.58 bu county yield, 2026 prices
PLC yield, % of your official benchmark
Which pays more, by season-average price
60% 23.7 bu
PLC pays more at $4.95 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $4.96 to $6.18. PLC pays more from $6.19 to $6.34. Neither pays at $6.35 or higher.
70% 27.7 bu
PLC pays more at $5.15 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $5.16 to $6.12. PLC pays more from $6.13 to $6.34. Neither pays at $6.35 or higher.
80% 31.7 bu
PLC pays more at $5.30 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $5.31 to $6.00. PLC pays more from $6.01 to $6.34. Neither pays at $6.35 or higher.
90% 35.6 bu
PLC pays more at $5.41 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $5.42 to $5.67. PLC pays more from $5.68 to $6.34. Neither pays at $6.35 or higher.
100% 39.6 bu
PLC pays more at $6.34 or lower. Neither pays at $6.35 or higher.
FSA history, non-irrigated
Year
Benchmark
Price
County yield
ARC-CO $/ac
2021
36.12
$5.50
45.00
none
2022
36.64
$5.50
22.00
none
2023
37.36
$5.50
35.98
none
2024
37.42
$6.21
48.18
none
2025
39.48
$6.98
35.00
$33.07
Program year; benchmark yield in bu/acre; benchmark price $/bu; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.
Corn 2026 in Deuel County: Leans ARC-CO
Non-irrigated: no typical-farm verdict. FSA’s average PLC yield for the county (104.1 bu) covers all practices and is above this benchmark (55.33 bu), so it does not describe a typical farm here. Run your own PLC yield below.
Irrigated, 2026: Leans ARC-CO: expected about $4.98 more per base acre; PLC did not pay more in any of the 11 years, but the gap is within the normal swing (expected $0.74 PLC vs $5.72 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 0 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 4).
PLC pays on any season-average price below $4.42, up to $176.97 per base acre at the $2.42 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $102.11 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 4 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $4.70, PLC is expected to pay $0.74 and ARC-CO $5.72 per base acre.
2027: Close, either one: about $1.44 apart, too small or too uncertain to call (expected $8.08 PLC vs $9.52 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 0 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 2). The 2027 view uses FSA’s 2026 benchmark; FSA posts 2027 later.
For a typical farm: FSA’s county average PLC yield 104.1 bu (program year 2025) and the official 199.03 bu benchmark. That PLC yield is FSA’s average over all practices, irrigated and not; an irrigated farm’s own is often higher. County yields from this county’s own FSA yields. Run your own numbers in the calculator below.
Average PLC yield on enrolled corn base in this county: 104.1 bu (FSA, program year 2025). Your farm’s own is on the FSA-156EZ.
Irrigated: official 2026 ARC-CO benchmark
Benchmark yield (FSA)199.03 bu
Benchmark price 2026$5.03
Benchmark revenue$1,001.12/ac
Guarantee (90%)$901.01/ac
Max payment (12%)$120.13/ac
Max per base acre (×85%)$102.11
FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 189.02 · 2021: 217.24 (dropped) · 2022: 162.25 (dropped) · 2023: 200.84 · 2024: 207.24 (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 199.03 bu.
At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($4.42/bu), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the
county yield comes in below 203.8 bu, reaching its cap below 176.7 bu.
PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 199.03 bu county yield, 2026 prices
PLC yield, % of your official benchmark
Which pays more, by season-average price
60% 119.4 bu
PLC pays more at $3.41 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.42 to $4.52. Neither pays at $4.53 or higher.
70% 139.3 bu
PLC pays more at $3.55 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.56 to $4.52. Neither pays at $4.53 or higher.
80% 159.2 bu
PLC pays more at $3.66 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.67 to $4.52. Neither pays at $4.53 or higher.
90% 179.1 bu
PLC pays more at $3.74 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.75 to $4.52. Neither pays at $4.53 or higher.
100% 199.0 bu
PLC pays more at $3.81 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.82 to $4.52. Neither pays at $4.53 or higher.
FSA history, irrigated
Year
Benchmark
Price
County yield
ARC-CO $/ac
2021
188.04
$3.70
213.89
none
2022
185.72
$3.70
159.57
none
2023
189.84
$3.98
198.83
none
2024
175.83
$4.85
205.90
none
2025
188.93
$5.03
199.44
$25.62
Program year; benchmark yield in bu/acre; benchmark price $/bu; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.
Non-irrigated: official 2026 ARC-CO benchmark
Benchmark yield (FSA)55.33 bu
Benchmark price 2026$5.03
Benchmark revenue$278.31/ac
Guarantee (90%)$250.48/ac
Max payment (12%)$33.40/ac
Max per base acre (×85%)$28.39
FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 48.8 (dropped) · 2021: 52.36 · 2022: 48.8 · 2023: 64.84 · 2024: 67.12 (dropped) (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 55.33 bu.
At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($4.42/bu), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the
county yield comes in below 56.7 bu, reaching its cap below 49.1 bu.
PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 55.33 bu county yield, 2026 prices
PLC yield, % of your official benchmark
Which pays more, by season-average price
60% 33.2 bu
PLC pays more at $3.41 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.42 to $4.52. Neither pays at $4.53 or higher.
70% 38.7 bu
PLC pays more at $3.55 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.56 to $4.52. Neither pays at $4.53 or higher.
80% 44.3 bu
PLC pays more at $3.66 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.67 to $4.52. Neither pays at $4.53 or higher.
90% 49.8 bu
PLC pays more at $3.74 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.75 to $4.52. Neither pays at $4.53 or higher.
100% 55.3 bu
PLC pays more at $3.81 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.82 to $4.52. Neither pays at $4.53 or higher.
FSA history, non-irrigated
Year
Benchmark
Price
County yield
ARC-CO $/ac
2021
79.18
$3.70
52.36
none
2022
79.18
$3.70
9.11
$29.30
2023
71.20
$3.98
64.84
none
2024
59.55
$4.85
67.12
none
2025
55.33
$5.03
78.22
none
Program year; benchmark yield in bu/acre; benchmark price $/bu; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.
Sunflower seed 2026 in Deuel County: Close, either one
All practices, 2026: Close, either one: about $1.24 apart, too small or too uncertain to call (expected $1.24 PLC vs $0 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 3 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 0).
PLC pays on any season-average price below $0.2375, up to $95.94 per base acre at the $0.1110 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $30.02 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 0 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $0.2470, PLC is expected to pay $1.24 and ARC-CO $0 per base acre.
2027: Waiting on USDA’s closing 2025 season-average price, which sets the 2027 reference price. The 2027 view uses FSA’s 2026 benchmark; FSA posts 2027 later.
For a typical farm: FSA’s county average PLC yield 892.3 lb (program year 2025) and the official 1,171.60 lb benchmark. County yields from this county’s own FSA yields. Run your own numbers in the calculator below.
Average PLC yield on enrolled sunflower seed base in this county: 892.3 lb (FSA, program year 2025). Your farm’s own is on the FSA-156EZ.
All practices: official 2026 ARC-CO benchmark
Benchmark yield (FSA)1,171.60 lb
Benchmark price 2026$0.2512
Benchmark revenue$294.31/ac
Guarantee (90%)$264.88/ac
Max payment (12%)$35.32/ac
Max per base acre (×85%)$30.02
FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 1403.68 · 2021: 1477.79 (dropped) · 2022: 776 (dropped) · 2023: 1083.96 · 2024: 1027.17 (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 1,171.60 lb.
At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($0.2375/lb), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the
county yield comes in below 1,115.3 lb, reaching its cap below 966.6 lb.
PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 1,171.60 lb county yield, 2026 prices
PLC yield, % of your official benchmark
Which pays more, by season-average price
60% 703.0 lb
PLC pays more at $0.1872 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $0.1873 to $0.2089. PLC pays more from $0.2090 to $0.2374. Neither pays at $0.2375 or higher.
70% 820.1 lb
PLC pays more at $0.1944 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $0.1945 to $0.1994. PLC pays more from $0.1995 to $0.2374. Neither pays at $0.2375 or higher.
80% 937.3 lb
PLC pays more at $0.2374 or lower. Neither pays at $0.2375 or higher.
90% 1,054.4 lb
PLC pays more at $0.2374 or lower. Neither pays at $0.2375 or higher.
100% 1,171.6 lb
PLC pays more at $0.2374 or lower. Neither pays at $0.2375 or higher.
FSA history, all practices
Year
Benchmark
Price
County yield
ARC-CO $/ac
2021
1,428.70
$0.2015
1477.79
none
2022
1,494.10
$0.2015
557.71
$30.11
2023
1,465.98
$0.2053
1083.96
$29.03
2024
1,362.98
$0.2308
1027.17
$26.07
2025
1,321.81
$0.2510
1461.67
none
Program year; benchmark yield in lb/acre; benchmark price $/lb; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.
Oats 2026 in Deuel County: ARC-CO benchmark and break-even
All practices: no typical-farm verdict. FSA’s average PLC yield for the county (49.2 bu) covers all practices and is above this benchmark (37.96 bu), so it does not describe a typical farm here. Run your own PLC yield below.
Average PLC yield on enrolled oats base in this county: 49.2 bu (FSA, program year 2025). Your farm’s own is on the FSA-156EZ.
All practices: official 2026 ARC-CO benchmark
Benchmark yield (FSA)37.96 bu
Benchmark price 2026$3.94
Benchmark revenue$149.56/ac
Guarantee (90%)$134.61/ac
Max payment (12%)$17.95/ac
Max per base acre (×85%)$15.26
FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 24.8 (dropped) · 2021: 50 · 2022: 28 · 2023: 80 (dropped) · 2024: 35.89 (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 37.96 bu.
At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($3.05/bu), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the
county yield comes in below 44.1 bu, reaching its cap below 38.2 bu.
PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 37.96 bu county yield, 2026 prices
PLC yield, % of your official benchmark
Which pays more, by season-average price
60% 22.8 bu
PLC pays more at $2.26 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $2.27 to $3.54. Neither pays at $3.55 or higher.
70% 26.6 bu
PLC pays more at $2.37 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $2.38 to $3.54. Neither pays at $3.55 or higher.
80% 30.4 bu
PLC pays more at $2.45 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $2.46 to $3.54. Neither pays at $3.55 or higher.
90% 34.2 bu
PLC pays more at $2.52 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $2.53 to $3.54. Neither pays at $3.55 or higher.
100% 38.0 bu
PLC pays more at $2.57 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $2.58 to $3.54. Neither pays at $3.55 or higher.
FSA history, all practices
Year
Benchmark
Price
County yield
ARC-CO $/ac
2021
48.27
$2.55
50.00
none
2022
44.93
$2.67
1.79
$12.00
2023
47.60
$2.75
80.00
none
2024
41.27
$3.38
35.89
none
2025
43.33
$3.84
41.18
$16.74
Program year; benchmark yield in bu/acre; benchmark price $/bu; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.
Barley 2026 in Deuel County: ARC-CO benchmark and break-even
All practices: no typical-farm verdict. FSA’s average PLC yield for the county (41.0 bu) covers all practices and is above this benchmark (31.33 bu), so it does not describe a typical farm here. Run your own PLC yield below.
Average PLC yield on enrolled barley base in this county: 41.0 bu (FSA, program year 2025). Your farm’s own is on the FSA-156EZ.
All practices: official 2026 ARC-CO benchmark
Benchmark yield (FSA)31.33 bu
Benchmark price 2026$6.43
Benchmark revenue$201.45/ac
Guarantee (90%)$181.31/ac
Max payment (12%)$24.17/ac
Max per base acre (×85%)$20.55
FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 62 (dropped) · 2021: 29 · 2022: 18.4 (dropped) · 2023: 44 · 2024: 21 (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 31.33 bu.
At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($5.58/bu), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the
county yield comes in below 32.5 bu, reaching its cap below 28.2 bu.
PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 31.33 bu county yield, 2026 prices
PLC yield, % of your official benchmark
Which pays more, by season-average price
60% 18.8 bu
PLC pays more at $4.29 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $4.30 to $5.78. Neither pays at $5.79 or higher.
70% 21.9 bu
PLC pays more at $4.47 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $4.48 to $5.78. Neither pays at $5.79 or higher.
80% 25.1 bu
PLC pays more at $4.61 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $4.62 to $5.78. Neither pays at $5.79 or higher.
90% 28.2 bu
PLC pays more at $4.72 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $4.73 to $5.78. Neither pays at $5.79 or higher.
100% 31.3 bu
PLC pays more at $4.80 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $4.81 to $5.78. Neither pays at $5.79 or higher.
FSA history, all practices
Year
Benchmark
Price
County yield
ARC-CO $/ac
2021
32.00
$4.95
29.00
none
2022
40.67
$4.95
12.00
$20.13
2023
40.67
$4.95
44.00
none
2024
40.67
$5.07
21.00
$20.62
2025
37.00
$6.10
13.00
$27.08
Program year; benchmark yield in bu/acre; benchmark price $/bu; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.
All practices, 2026: Leans ARC-CO: expected about $5.21 more per base acre; PLC did not pay more in any of the 11 years, but the gap is within the normal swing (expected $8.98 PLC vs $14.19 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 0 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 9). Capped at Leans: this crop borrows corn’s price swings.
PLC pays on any season-average price below $4.67, up to $80.71 per base acre at the $2.42 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $27.16 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 9 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $4.50, PLC is expected to pay $8.98 and ARC-CO $14.19 per base acre.
2027: Waiting on USDA’s closing 2025 season-average price, which sets the 2027 reference price. The 2027 view uses FSA’s 2026 benchmark; FSA posts 2027 later.
For a typical farm: FSA’s county average PLC yield 42.2 bu (program year 2025) and the official 50.24 bu benchmark. County yields from this county’s own FSA yields. Run your own numbers in the calculator below.
Average PLC yield on enrolled sorghum base in this county: 42.2 bu (FSA, program year 2025). Your farm’s own is on the FSA-156EZ.
All practices: official 2026 ARC-CO benchmark
Benchmark yield (FSA)50.24 bu
Benchmark price 2026$5.30
Benchmark revenue$266.27/ac
Guarantee (90%)$239.64/ac
Max payment (12%)$31.95/ac
Max per base acre (×85%)$27.16
FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 38.2 · 2021: 59.55 · 2022: 38 (dropped) · 2023: 52.97 · 2024: 59.83 (dropped) (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 50.24 bu.
At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($4.67/bu), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the
county yield comes in below 51.3 bu, reaching its cap below 44.5 bu.
PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 50.24 bu county yield, 2026 prices
PLC yield, % of your official benchmark
Which pays more, by season-average price
60% 30.1 bu
PLC pays more at $3.60 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.61 to $4.76. Neither pays at $4.77 or higher.
70% 35.2 bu
PLC pays more at $3.76 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.77 to $4.76. Neither pays at $4.77 or higher.
80% 40.2 bu
PLC pays more at $3.87 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.88 to $4.76. Neither pays at $4.77 or higher.
90% 45.2 bu
PLC pays more at $3.96 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.97 to $4.76. Neither pays at $4.77 or higher.
100% 50.2 bu
PLC pays more at $4.03 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $4.04 to $4.76. Neither pays at $4.77 or higher.
FSA history, all practices
Year
Benchmark
Price
County yield
ARC-CO $/ac
2021
60.22
$3.95
59.05
none
2022
54.20
$3.95
7.84
$21.41
2023
52.75
$4.31
52.67
none
2024
49.47
$5.01
59.63
none
2025
50.21
$5.30
55.33
$31.93
Program year; benchmark yield in bu/acre; benchmark price $/bu; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.
All practices, 2026: Leans ARC-CO: expected about $2.14 more per base acre; PLC did not pay more in any of the 11 years, but the gap is within the normal swing (expected $5.85 PLC vs $7.99 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 0 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 8). Capped at Leans: this crop borrows corn’s price swings.
PLC pays on any season-average price below $13.30, up to $72.26 per base acre at the $6.216 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $26.99 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 8 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $13.00, PLC is expected to pay $5.85 and ARC-CO $7.99 per base acre.
2027: No 2027 price yet: there is no 2027 price outlook for this crop we can check against past years, so no call. Type a price in the calculator to see the dollars. The 2027 view uses FSA’s 2026 benchmark; FSA posts 2027 later.
For a typical farm: FSA’s county average PLC yield 12.0 bu (program year 2025) and the official 18.00 bu benchmark. County yields from this county’s own FSA yields. Run your own numbers in the calculator below.
Average PLC yield on enrolled flaxseed base in this county: 12.0 bu (FSA, program year 2025). Your farm’s own is on the FSA-156EZ.
All practices: official 2026 ARC-CO benchmark
Benchmark yield (FSA)18.00 bu
Benchmark price 2026$14.70
Benchmark revenue$264.60/ac
Guarantee (90%)$238.14/ac
Max payment (12%)$31.75/ac
Max per base acre (×85%)$26.99
FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 20 · 2021: 15.2 (dropped) · 2022: 20.51 (dropped) · 2023: 16 · 2024: 18 (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 18.00 bu.
At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($13.30/bu), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the
county yield comes in below 17.9 bu, reaching its cap below 15.5 bu.
PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 18.00 bu county yield, 2026 prices
PLC yield, % of your official benchmark
Which pays more, by season-average price
60% 10.8 bu
PLC pays more at $10.35 or lower. Both pay the same at $10.36. ARC-CO pays more from $10.37 to $13.12. PLC pays more from $13.13 to $13.29. Neither pays at $13.30 or higher.
70% 12.6 bu
PLC pays more at $10.77 or lower. Both pay the same at $10.78. ARC-CO pays more from $10.79 to $13.06. PLC pays more from $13.07 to $13.29. Neither pays at $13.30 or higher.
80% 14.4 bu
PLC pays more at $11.09 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $11.10 to $12.94. Both pay the same at $12.95. PLC pays more from $12.96 to $13.29. Neither pays at $13.30 or higher.
90% 16.2 bu
PLC pays more at $11.33 or lower. Both pay the same at $11.34. ARC-CO pays more from $11.35 to $12.59. Both pay the same at $12.60. PLC pays more from $12.61 to $13.29. Neither pays at $13.30 or higher.
100% 18.0 bu
PLC pays more at $13.29 or lower. Neither pays at $13.30 or higher.
FSA history, all practices
Year
Benchmark
Price
County yield
ARC-CO $/ac
2021
18.40
$11.284
12.00
none
2022
18.40
$11.284
20.51
none
2023
16.80
$11.284
16.00
none
2024
18.40
$13.356
18.00
none
2025
17.07
$14.70
23.00
none
Program year; benchmark yield in bu/acre; benchmark price $/bu; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.
Soybeans 2026 in Deuel County: Neither expected to pay
All practices, 2026: Neither expected to pay (expected $0 PLC vs $0 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 0 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 0).
PLC pays on any season-average price below $10.71, up to $29.76 per base acre at the $6.82 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $66.47 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 0 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $12.00, PLC is expected to pay $0 and ARC-CO $0 per base acre.
2027: Leans ARC-CO: expected about $19.36 more per base acre; but the gap is within the normal swing, so PLC is a defensible choice (expected $0.73 PLC vs $20.09 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 1 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 4). The 2027 view uses FSA’s 2026 benchmark; FSA posts 2027 later.
For a typical farm: FSA’s county average PLC yield 9.0 bu (program year 2025) and the official 53.55 bu benchmark. County yields from this county’s own FSA yields. Run your own numbers in the calculator below.
Average PLC yield on enrolled soybeans base in this county: 9.0 bu (FSA, program year 2025). Your farm’s own is on the FSA-156EZ.
All practices: official 2026 ARC-CO benchmark
Benchmark yield (FSA)53.55 bu
Benchmark price 2026$12.17
Benchmark revenue$651.70/ac
Guarantee (90%)$586.53/ac
Max payment (12%)$78.20/ac
Max per base acre (×85%)$66.47
FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 54.66 · 2021: 57.16 (dropped) · 2022: 30.4 (dropped) · 2023: 52 · 2024: 54 (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 53.55 bu.
At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($10.71/bu), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the
county yield comes in below 54.8 bu, reaching its cap below 47.5 bu.
PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 53.55 bu county yield, 2026 prices
PLC yield, % of your official benchmark
Which pays more, by season-average price
60% 32.1 bu
PLC pays more at $8.27 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $8.28 to $10.95. Neither pays at $10.96 or higher.
70% 37.5 bu
PLC pays more at $8.62 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $8.63 to $10.95. Neither pays at $10.96 or higher.
80% 42.8 bu
PLC pays more at $8.88 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $8.89 to $10.95. Neither pays at $10.96 or higher.
90% 48.2 bu
PLC pays more at $9.08 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $9.09 to $10.95. Neither pays at $10.96 or higher.
100% 53.6 bu
PLC pays more at $9.25 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $9.26 to $10.95. Neither pays at $10.96 or higher.
FSA history, all practices
Year
Benchmark
Price
County yield
ARC-CO $/ac
2021
44.71
$8.95
57.16
none
2022
46.03
$9.12
26.28
none
2023
52.78
$9.57
52.00
none
2024
45.82
$11.12
54.00
none
2025
52.22
$12.17
60.00
none
Program year; benchmark yield in bu/acre; benchmark price $/bu; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.
All practices, 2026: Close, either one: about $1.79 apart, too small or too uncertain to call (expected $21.31 PLC vs $19.52 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 8 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 3).
PLC pays on any season-average price below $0.1314, up to $68.86 per base acre at the $0.0687 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $21.92 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 11 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $0.1120, PLC is expected to pay $21.31 and ARC-CO $19.52 per base acre.
2027: No 2027 price yet: there is no 2027 price outlook for this crop we can check against past years, so no call. Type a price in the calculator to see the dollars. The 2027 view uses FSA’s 2026 benchmark; FSA posts 2027 later.
For a typical farm: FSA’s county average PLC yield 1,292.0 lb (program year 2025) and the official 1,439.40 lb benchmark. County yields from this county’s own FSA yields. Run your own numbers in the calculator below.
Average PLC yield on enrolled dry peas base in this county: 1,292.0 lb (FSA, program year 2025). Your farm’s own is on the FSA-156EZ.
All practices: official 2026 ARC-CO benchmark
Benchmark yield (FSA)1,439.40 lb
Benchmark price 2026$0.1493
Benchmark revenue$214.90/ac
Guarantee (90%)$193.41/ac
Max payment (12%)$25.79/ac
Max per base acre (×85%)$21.92
FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 920.15 (dropped) · 2021: 1793.49 · 2022: 1004 · 2023: 2753.1 (dropped) · 2024: 1520.7 (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 1,439.40 lb.
At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($0.1314/lb), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the
county yield comes in below 1,471.9 lb, reaching its cap below 1,275.7 lb.
PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 1,439.40 lb county yield, 2026 prices
PLC yield, % of your official benchmark
Which pays more, by season-average price
60% 863.6 lb
PLC pays more at $0.1015 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $0.1016 to $0.1343. Neither pays at $0.1344 or higher.
70% 1,007.6 lb
PLC pays more at $0.1058 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $0.1059 to $0.1343. Neither pays at $0.1344 or higher.
80% 1,151.5 lb
PLC pays more at $0.1089 or lower. Both pay the same at $0.1090. ARC-CO pays more from $0.1091 to $0.1343. Neither pays at $0.1344 or higher.
90% 1,295.5 lb
PLC pays more at $0.1114 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $0.1115 to $0.1343. Neither pays at $0.1344 or higher.
100% 1,439.4 lb
PLC pays more at $0.1134 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $0.1135 to $0.1343. Neither pays at $0.1344 or higher.
FSA history, all practices
Year
Benchmark
Price
County yield
ARC-CO $/ac
2022
1,134.72
$0.1100
128.18
$12.48
2023
1,425.84
$0.1127
2753.10
none
2024
1,256.88
$0.1267
1520.70
none
2025
1,850.20
$0.1477
1516.00
$32.79
Program year; benchmark yield in lb/acre; benchmark price $/lb; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.
Large chickpeas 2026 in Deuel County: ARC-CO benchmark and break-even
FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 1590 · 2021: 1045.6 (dropped) · 2022: 1296 · 2023: 1392 · 2024: 1638.59 (dropped) (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 1,426.00 lb.
At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($0.2950/lb), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the
county yield comes in below 1,543.1 lb, reaching its cap below 1,337.4 lb.
PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 1,426.00 lb county yield, 2026 prices
PLC yield, % of your official benchmark
Which pays more, by season-average price
60% 855.6 lb
PLC pays more at $0.2240 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $0.2241 to $0.3192. Neither pays at $0.3193 or higher.
70% 998.2 lb
PLC pays more at $0.2341 or lower. Both pay the same at $0.2342. ARC-CO pays more from $0.2343 to $0.3192. Neither pays at $0.3193 or higher.
80% 1,140.8 lb
PLC pays more at $0.2417 or lower. Both pay the same at $0.2418. ARC-CO pays more from $0.2419 to $0.3192. Neither pays at $0.3193 or higher.
90% 1,283.4 lb
PLC pays more at $0.2477 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $0.2478 to $0.3192. Neither pays at $0.3193 or higher.
100% 1,426.0 lb
PLC pays more at $0.2524 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $0.2525 to $0.3192. Neither pays at $0.3193 or higher.
FSA history, all practices
Year
Benchmark
Price
County yield
ARC-CO $/ac
2021
1,214.33
$0.2880
816.00
$2.93
2025
1,300.00
$0.3336
1044.45
$52.04
Program year; benchmark yield in lb/acre; benchmark price $/lb; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.
Safflower 2026 in Deuel County: ARC-CO benchmark and break-even
FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 879 · 2021: 864 · 2022: 817.39 (dropped) · 2023: 960 (dropped) · 2024: 895 (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 879.33 lb.
At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($0.2438/lb), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the
county yield comes in below 900.1 lb, reaching its cap below 780.1 lb.
PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 879.33 lb county yield, 2026 prices
PLC yield, % of your official benchmark
Which pays more, by season-average price
60% 527.6 lb
PLC pays more at $0.1883 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $0.1884 to $0.2495. Neither pays at $0.2496 or higher.
70% 615.5 lb
PLC pays more at $0.1962 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $0.1963 to $0.2495. Neither pays at $0.2496 or higher.
80% 703.5 lb
PLC pays more at $0.2022 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $0.2023 to $0.2495. Neither pays at $0.2496 or higher.
90% 791.4 lb
PLC pays more at $0.2068 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $0.2069 to $0.2495. Neither pays at $0.2496 or higher.
100% 879.3 lb
PLC pays more at $0.2105 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $0.2106 to $0.2495. Neither pays at $0.2496 or higher.
FSA history, all practices
Year
Benchmark
Price
County yield
ARC-CO $/ac
2022
861.33
$0.2038
817.39
none
2023
876.33
$0.2065
960.00
none
2025
853.46
$0.2752
802.00
$28.18
Program year; benchmark yield in lb/acre; benchmark price $/lb; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.
Break-even prices are per base acre with both programs on 85% of base and 2026 prices. Your PLC yield is on the FSA-156EZ.
Run every number for your farm
Run your farm’s numbers
Run each crop on each FSA farm number separately. The election is made crop by crop, farm by farm.
FSA has separate irrigated and non-irrigated benchmarks here. A farm with both is weighted by its historical irrigated percentage on FSA’s records, not by what you plant this year.
From the FSA-156EZ. Base acres are not what you plant; each farm number has its own base.
On the FSA-156EZ for the farm. Each farm has its own.
Fills in from FSA’s official county file when we have it. You can type the number your county office gives you.
County average, not your farm. A normal year often comes in a bit above this.
USDA national season-average price for the marketing year, not your local cash price.
Goes on the printout and keeps each farm’s numbers apart on this device.
Loading FSA and USDA numbers for the calculator.
Questions about Deuel County
Should I pick ARC or PLC for wheat in Deuel County for 2026?
For a typical farm (irrigated): Close, either one: about $1.94 apart, too small or too uncertain to call (expected $7.50 PLC vs $9.44 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 0 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 6). PLC pays on any season-average price below $6.35, up to $90.98 per base acre at the $3.72 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $44.02 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 6 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $6.30, PLC is expected to pay $7.50 and ARC-CO $9.44 per base acre. Run your own PLC yield and base acres; the answer can change.
What is the ARC-CO benchmark yield for wheat in Deuel County?
FSA's official 2026 benchmark yield for wheat in Deuel County, Nebraska is 61.83 bu (irrigated); 39.58 bu (non-irrigated). The 2026 benchmark price is $6.98 per bushel. FSA has not posted the 2027 benchmark.
Should I pick ARC or PLC for corn in Deuel County for 2026?
For a typical farm (irrigated): Leans ARC-CO: expected about $4.98 more per base acre; PLC did not pay more in any of the 11 years, but the gap is within the normal swing (expected $0.74 PLC vs $5.72 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 0 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 4). PLC pays on any season-average price below $4.42, up to $176.97 per base acre at the $2.42 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $102.11 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 4 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $4.70, PLC is expected to pay $0.74 and ARC-CO $5.72 per base acre. Run your own PLC yield and base acres; the answer can change.
What is the ARC-CO benchmark yield for corn in Deuel County?
FSA's official 2026 benchmark yield for corn in Deuel County, Nebraska is 199.03 bu (irrigated); 55.33 bu (non-irrigated). The 2026 benchmark price is $5.03 per bushel. FSA has not posted the 2027 benchmark.
Should I pick ARC or PLC for sunflower seed in Deuel County for 2026?
For a typical farm (all practices): Close, either one: about $1.24 apart, too small or too uncertain to call (expected $1.24 PLC vs $0 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 3 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 0). PLC pays on any season-average price below $0.2375, up to $95.94 per base acre at the $0.1110 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $30.02 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 0 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $0.2470, PLC is expected to pay $1.24 and ARC-CO $0 per base acre. Run your own PLC yield and base acres; the answer can change.
What is the ARC-CO benchmark yield for sunflower seed in Deuel County?
FSA's official 2026 benchmark yield for sunflower seed in Deuel County, Nebraska is 1,171.60 lb (all practices). The 2026 benchmark price is $0.2512 per pound. FSA has not posted the 2027 benchmark.
What is the ARC-CO benchmark yield for oats in Deuel County?
FSA's official 2026 benchmark yield for oats in Deuel County, Nebraska is 37.96 bu (all practices). The 2026 benchmark price is $3.94 per bushel. FSA has not posted the 2027 benchmark.
What is the ARC-CO benchmark yield for barley in Deuel County?
FSA's official 2026 benchmark yield for barley in Deuel County, Nebraska is 31.33 bu (all practices). The 2026 benchmark price is $6.43 per bushel. FSA has not posted the 2027 benchmark.
Should I pick ARC or PLC for sorghum in Deuel County for 2026?
For a typical farm (all practices): Leans ARC-CO: expected about $5.21 more per base acre; PLC did not pay more in any of the 11 years, but the gap is within the normal swing (expected $8.98 PLC vs $14.19 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 0 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 9). Capped at Leans: this crop borrows corn’s price swings. PLC pays on any season-average price below $4.67, up to $80.71 per base acre at the $2.42 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $27.16 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 9 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $4.50, PLC is expected to pay $8.98 and ARC-CO $14.19 per base acre. Run your own PLC yield and base acres; the answer can change.
What is the ARC-CO benchmark yield for sorghum in Deuel County?
FSA's official 2026 benchmark yield for sorghum in Deuel County, Nebraska is 50.24 bu (all practices). The 2026 benchmark price is $5.30 per bushel. FSA has not posted the 2027 benchmark.
Should I pick ARC or PLC for flaxseed in Deuel County for 2026?
For a typical farm (all practices): Leans ARC-CO: expected about $2.14 more per base acre; PLC did not pay more in any of the 11 years, but the gap is within the normal swing (expected $5.85 PLC vs $7.99 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 0 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 8). Capped at Leans: this crop borrows corn’s price swings. PLC pays on any season-average price below $13.30, up to $72.26 per base acre at the $6.216 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $26.99 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 8 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $13.00, PLC is expected to pay $5.85 and ARC-CO $7.99 per base acre. Run your own PLC yield and base acres; the answer can change.
What is the ARC-CO benchmark yield for flaxseed in Deuel County?
FSA's official 2026 benchmark yield for flaxseed in Deuel County, Nebraska is 18.00 bu (all practices). The 2026 benchmark price is $14.70 per bushel. FSA has not posted the 2027 benchmark.
Should I pick ARC or PLC for soybeans in Deuel County for 2026?
For a typical farm (all practices): Neither expected to pay (expected $0 PLC vs $0 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 0 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 0). PLC pays on any season-average price below $10.71, up to $29.76 per base acre at the $6.82 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $66.47 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 0 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $12.00, PLC is expected to pay $0 and ARC-CO $0 per base acre. Run your own PLC yield and base acres; the answer can change.
What is the ARC-CO benchmark yield for soybeans in Deuel County?
FSA's official 2026 benchmark yield for soybeans in Deuel County, Nebraska is 53.55 bu (all practices). The 2026 benchmark price is $12.17 per bushel. FSA has not posted the 2027 benchmark.
Should I pick ARC or PLC for dry peas in Deuel County for 2026?
For a typical farm (all practices): Close, either one: about $1.79 apart, too small or too uncertain to call (expected $21.31 PLC vs $19.52 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 8 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 3). PLC pays on any season-average price below $0.1314, up to $68.86 per base acre at the $0.0687 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $21.92 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 11 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $0.1120, PLC is expected to pay $21.31 and ARC-CO $19.52 per base acre. Run your own PLC yield and base acres; the answer can change.
What is the ARC-CO benchmark yield for dry peas in Deuel County?
FSA's official 2026 benchmark yield for dry peas in Deuel County, Nebraska is 1,439.40 lb (all practices). The 2026 benchmark price is $0.1493 per pound. FSA has not posted the 2027 benchmark.
What is the ARC-CO benchmark yield for large chickpeas in Deuel County?
FSA's official 2026 benchmark yield for large chickpeas in Deuel County, Nebraska is 1,426.00 lb (all practices). The 2026 benchmark price is $0.3547 per pound. FSA has not posted the 2027 benchmark.
What is the ARC-CO benchmark yield for safflower in Deuel County?
FSA's official 2026 benchmark yield for safflower in Deuel County, Nebraska is 879.33 lb (all practices). The 2026 benchmark price is $0.2773 per pound. FSA has not posted the 2027 benchmark.