USDA Crop Progress · every Monday · ranked against every year USDA rated it
Crop conditions ranked against every year on record
Harvest pace first: how far each state’s corn and soybean harvest is ahead of or behind its five-year average, from Monday’s USDA Crop Progress. Below that, each state’s Good+Excellent share, ranked against the same week of every year USDA rated it since 2001.
By Sigurd Lindquist, CCA. Data: USDA NASS Crop Progress, out Mondays at 4 p.m. Eastern.
Week ending Oct 11, 2026 (USDA NASS): US corn 56% good-to-excellent, soybeans 57%. Harvested: corn 33% (avg 39%), soybeans 46% (avg 50%).
| State | Corn | Soybeans |
|---|---|---|
| Iowa | 14% −20 | 31% −28 |
| Illinois | 51% +7 | 48% +2 |
| Nebraska | 27% −8 | 26% −29 |
| Minnesota | 25% −7 | 68% −1 |
| Indiana | 34% +0 | 44% +0 |
| South Dakota | 15% −16 | 47% −13 |
| Ohio | 11% −11 | 30% −10 |
| North Dakota | 23% +2 | 60% +3 |
| Kansas | 63% −1 | 27% −10 |
| Missouri | 64% +3 | 36% +6 |
| Wisconsin | 16% −2 | 54% +7 |
| Michigan | 4% −18 | 27% −11 |
Every state USDA reported: full harvest table. A dash means USDA did not report that crop for that state this week.
USDA Crop Progress, week ending Oct 11, 2026: US corn 56% good-to-excellent (54% the week before); soybeans 57% (57%). Corn harvest 33% done vs a 39% five-year average. 26 corn states rated for the week ending Oct 11, 2026, each ranked against the same week of every year USDA rated it, 2001–present (rank 1 = worst on record). No state has a rating at this week in 2000, 2012 or 2025 in the USDA file, so those years are not in the comparison.
| State | G+E now | Own avg | Rank (1 = worst) |
|---|---|---|---|
| WY | 31% | 81% | 1 of 12 |
| NC | 14% | 51% | 2 of 24 |
| ND | 30% | 60% | 2 of 24 |
| NE | 48% | 67% | 3 of 24 |
| SD | 35% | 61% | 3 of 24 |
| UT | 72% | 82% | 1 of 12 |
| CO | 36% | 59% | 5 of 24 |
| TX | 35% | 49% | 5 of 23 |
| MI | 51% | 58% | 6 of 24 |
| WI | 58% | 65% | 6 of 24 |
| KS | 40% | 48% | 7 of 24 |
| NM | 59% | 67% | 4 of 12 |
| IL | 60% | 64% | 9 of 24 |
| MN | 61% | 64% | 9 of 24 |
| DE | 51% | 56% | 6 of 11 |
| IN | 64% | 60% | 15 of 24 |
| KY | 79% | 70% | 14 of 24 |
| OH | 69% | 59% | 15 of 24 |
| WV | 63% | 53% | 8 of 12 |
| IA | 71% | 66% | 16 of 24 |
| TN | 81% | 67% | 16 of 24 |
| PA | 78% | 66% | 17 of 24 |
| MT | 68% | 60% | 8 of 12 |
| MO | 66% | 53% | 18 of 24 |
| NJ | 91% | 64% | 11 of 12 |
| NY | 87% | 70% | 11 of 11 |
Rank counts up from the worst: rank 1 of N = the lowest G+E this week has ever seen in that state’s record. The denominator is per state: most start in 2001 at this week (none has a 2000 rating here), but USDA only began reporting some states in 2014, so their comparison starts there. The average column is each state’s own, over the years it actually has. The bar shows how far this week sits from that state’s own average for the same week, in G+E percentage points: red below, green above, every row on the same scale. States with under 10 comparable years are left out rather than thinly ranked.
US, week ending Oct 11, 2026: Corn 33% harvested vs a 39% five-year average; Soybeans 46% harvested vs a 50% five-year average. 31 corn states reported this week.
| State | Harvested | 5-yr avg | vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa | 14% | 34% | −20 pts |
| Michigan | 4% | 22% | −18 pts |
| South Dakota | 15% | 31% | −16 pts |
| New Jersey | 20% | 33% | −13 pts |
| Ohio | 11% | 22% | −11 pts |
| New York | 1% | 10% | −9 pts |
| Nebraska | 27% | 35% | −8 pts |
| Minnesota | 25% | 32% | −7 pts |
| Montana | 28% | 34% | −6 pts |
| Colorado | 25% | 27% | −2 pts |
| North Carolina | 87% | 89% | −2 pts |
| Pennsylvania | 14% | 16% | −2 pts |
| Wisconsin | 16% | 18% | −2 pts |
| Delaware | 66% | 67% | −1 pts |
| Kansas | 63% | 64% | −1 pts |
| Indiana | 34% | 34% | +0 pts |
| Texas | 89% | 88% | +1 pts |
| Arkansas | 100% | 98% | +2 pts |
| North Dakota | 23% | 21% | +2 pts |
| Maryland | 59% | 56% | +3 pts |
| Missouri | 64% | 61% | +3 pts |
| West Virginia | 16% | 13% | +3 pts |
| Illinois | 51% | 44% | +7 pts |
| Oklahoma | 72% | 63% | +9 pts |
| Kentucky | 80% | 67% | +13 pts |
| Tennessee | 91% | 78% | +13 pts |
| New Mexico | 27% | 8% | +19 pts |
| Alabama | 95% | ||
| Utah | 16% | ||
| Virginia | 81% | ||
| Wyoming | 2% |
Percent of the crop harvested, from the same USDA Crop Progress report as the ratings. Only states USDA reported this week are listed. The five-year average is our arithmetic on USDA’s weekly series (each of the five prior years read at the same calendar date), so it can differ from the average USDA prints by a point. A last-year column appears when USDA has a report for the same week a year earlier; it published none in October 2025, during the federal shutdown. Tap a column to sort.
Is this the worst crop we’ve ever had?
Check your state’s rank above. If it says 3 of 24, it’s genuinely historic. If it says 12 of 24, it’s a middling year that feels worse because it’s yours.
Why does my county look worse than my state’s number?
State ratings average enormous areas; your county, and your farm, can sit far from that average. The rank tells you how the state-level picture compares historically, not what your back forty looks like.
Do conditions predict yield?
Loosely and late. Correlation strengthens as the season ages. Early-summer G+E is a weak predictor; by dent stage it means much more. That relationship (with its R²) is on the Conditions vs Yield page.
Where do the numbers come from?
USDA NASS Crop Progress, published Monday afternoons in season. Each state is compared with every year USDA rated it at the same week; the query starts in 2000, and this fall no state has a 2000 rating at this week, so the records start in 2001 or later. Fetched and ranked automatically after each Monday release (Tuesday when a Monday holiday moves it); source linked below.
USDA NASS Quick Stats, weekly crop condition (PCT GOOD + PCT EXCELLENT), state level, 2000–present. Rankings computed by scripts/fetch_conditions.py in the AGSIST repository. This year’s rating must come from the exact current week: a state USDA did not rate this week is left off, never shown with last week’s number; past years are matched to the same week ±1 so calendar drift does not drop a year. States with <10 comparable years omitted. Related: basis vs normal · drought monitor · yield estimator.