Aroostook County, Maine

ARC or PLC: the short answer for Aroostook County, Maine

By Sigurd Lindquist, a Certified Crop Adviser (CCA).

What pays more on your base acres for a typical farm here, crop by crop. 2026 signup ends Dec 11.

Is your farm’s PLC yield lower, about the same, or higher than most farms here?

Your PLC yield is on your farm’s FSA-156EZ. Not sure? Leave it on About the same.

Your main crops

Clear pickLeansCloseNo answer yet

Barley

ARC-COLeans

ARC-CO comes out about $8 more per base acre, but that swings from year to year. PLC did not come out ahead in any of the 11 price years we ran. Barley borrows corn’s price swings, so it stops at Leans.

PLC only pays if barley averages under $5.58 a bushel for 2026.

2027: no 2027 price yet

Oats

Ask FSANo answer yet

FSA’s county average PLC yield is above the county benchmark yield, so there is no typical-farm answer. Ask your FSA office.

2027: ask your FSA office

Smaller crops here

Each has under 800 enrolled base acres in the whole county (FSA, program year 2025).

Soybeans

Neither expected to payClose

Neither one is likely to pay on soybeans for 2026 at USDA’s price outlook ($12.00).

PLC only pays if soybeans average under $10.71 a bushel for 2026.

2027: close, either one

Wheat

Ask FSANo answer yet

FSA’s county average PLC yield is above the county benchmark yield, so there is no typical-farm answer. Ask your FSA office.

2027: ask your FSA office

Canola

Either oneClose

They come out less than $1 apart per base acre.

PLC only pays if canola averages under 23.75 cents a pound for 2026.

2027: no 2027 price yet

Corn

ARC-COLeans

ARC-CO comes out about $4 more per base acre, but that swings from year to year. PLC did not come out ahead in any of the 11 price years we ran.

PLC only pays if corn averages under $4.42 a bushel for 2026.

2027: close, either one

Mustard seed

Ask FSANo answer yet

FSA’s county average PLC yield is above the county benchmark yield, so there is no typical-farm answer. Ask your FSA office.

2027: waiting on USDA’s closing 2025 price

Sunflower seed

Either oneClose

They come out about $1 apart per base acre. Too small to matter.

PLC only pays if sunflower seed averages under 23.75 cents a pound for 2026.

2027: waiting on USDA’s closing 2025 price

Deadlines

Counter sheet for the FSA office Share this county

Show the math

2026. The 2026 crop is mostly harvested, so each scenario uses a normal Aroostook County crop (FSA’s 2026 benchmark yield) and only the price moves. Prices start from USDA’s projected 2026/27 season-average prices (USDA WASDE, Oct 9, 2026: barley $5.70, oats $3.35, soybeans $12.00, wheat $6.30, corn $4.70; FSA table of Sep 11, 2026: canola $0.2450, mustard seed $0.3170, sunflower seed $0.2470). Around that price we ran each past year with a final USDA price: how far that year’s final season-average price ended from October futures, for corn and soybeans. Barley, oats, wheat, canola, mustard seed, sunflower seed have no October futures history of their own, so they borrow corn’s October swings (wheat its own price changes, scaled to corn’s size) and stop at Leans.

Two price starts. Corn: USDA $4.70; futures-based $4.97 (Dec '26 October average so far, $5.01 over 5 of 22 trading days, × 0.991, the 2015 to 2025 average of final price / October futures). Here, the typical farm’s answer at that start: neither expected to pay, against leans ARC-CO at USDA’s start. Soybeans: USDA $12.00; futures-based $12.84 (Nov '26 October average so far, $12.89 over 5 of 22 trading days, × 0.996, the 2015 to 2025 average of final price / October futures). Here, the typical farm’s answer at that start: neither expected to pay (the same). Where the two disagree on which program leads, or on a clear pick, a clear pick drops to Leans.

2027. Corn and soybeans start from futures: corn $4.91 (Dec 2027 corn futures $5.12 (Oct 9, 2026) × 0.959, the 2011 to 2025 average of final MYA / February futures); soybeans $12.17 (Nov 2027 soybean futures $12.45 (Oct 9, 2026) × 0.978, the 2011 to 2025 average of final MYA / February futures). Each scenario year also moves the county yield the way it moved that year. Barley, oats, wheat, canola: no 2027 price outlook we can check against past years, so no 2027 answer. Mustard seed, sunflower seed wait on USDA’s closing 2025 price, which sets the 2027 reference price.

Typical farm. FSA’s county average PLC yield (barley 60.5 bu; oats 67.4 bu; soybeans 24.4 bu; wheat 48.8 bu; canola 1,140.6 lb; corn 87.1 bu; mustard seed 608.0 lb; sunflower seed 949.7 lb) and FSA’s official benchmark. “Lower” and “Higher” mean 15% under or over the county average. Payments are per base acre and count FSA’s 85% payment acres, before sequestration and payment limits.

How we call it. Clear pick when one program averages at least $2.00 more per base acre, the gap is more than t times its standard error (2.26 for 10 years, 2.23 for 11), and it paid more in at least 3 of the years. Leans when the gap is at least $3.00 and one standard error, and it paid more in at least 3 years. Close otherwise. When both round to $0: neither expected to pay.

Average payment per base acre over the scenario years, typical farm (about the same PLC yield).
CropPracticeYearPLCARC-COAnswer
BarleyAll practices2026$4.21$12.45Leans ARC-CO
BarleyAll practices2027nonenoneNo 2027 price yet
OatsAll practices2026nonenoneAsk FSA
OatsAll practices2027nonenoneAsk FSA
SoybeansAll practices2026$0$0Neither pays
SoybeansAll practices2027$1.97$4.27Either one
WheatAll practices2026nonenoneAsk FSA
WheatAll practices2027nonenoneAsk FSA
CanolaAll practices2026$2.24$1.65Either one
CanolaAll practices2027nonenoneNo 2027 price yet
CornAll practices2026$0.62$4.25Leans ARC-CO
CornAll practices2027$6.76$10.22Either one
Mustard seedAll practices2026nonenoneAsk FSA
Mustard seedAll practices2027nonenoneWait for USDA
Sunflower seedAll practices2026$1.32$0Either one
Sunflower seedAll practices2027nonenoneWait for USDA

FSA lists a benchmark here but no enrolled base for sorghum.

Sources. FSA 2026 ARC-CO benchmark yields (county file of Jan 16, 2026); FSA county average PLC yields, program year 2025; FSA price tables of Sep 11, 2026; USDA WASDE, Oct 9, 2026; CME futures: Dec 2026 corn and Nov 2026 soybean October average through Oct 8, 2026; Dec 2027 corn and Nov 2027 soybean close of Oct 9, 2026; USDA NASS season-average prices for closed marketing years; FSA ARC-CO county files, program years 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 (county yields and payments). Full method and back-test.

Barley 2026 in Aroostook County: Leans ARC-CO

All barley counties.

All practices, 2026: Leans ARC-CO: expected about $8.24 more per base acre; PLC did not pay more in any of the 11 years, but the gap is within the normal swing (expected $4.21 PLC vs $12.45 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 0 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 8). Capped at Leans: this crop borrows corn’s price swings.

PLC pays on any season-average price below $5.58, up to $145.53 per base acre at the $2.75 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $43.86 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 8 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $5.70, PLC is expected to pay $4.21 and ARC-CO $12.45 per base acre.

2027: No 2027 price yet: there is no 2027 price outlook for this crop we can check against past years, so no call. Type a price in the calculator to see the dollars. The 2027 view uses FSA’s 2026 benchmark; FSA posts 2027 later.

For a typical farm: FSA’s county average PLC yield 60.5 bu (program year 2025) and the official 66.88 bu benchmark. County yields from this county’s own FSA yields. Run your own numbers in the calculator below.

Average PLC yield on enrolled barley base in this county: 60.5 bu (FSA, program year 2025). Your farm’s own is on the FSA-156EZ.

All practices: official 2026 ARC-CO benchmark

Benchmark yield (FSA)66.88 bu
Benchmark price 2026$6.43
Benchmark revenue$430.04/ac
Guarantee (90%)$387.03/ac
Max payment (12%)$51.60/ac
Max per base acre (×85%)$43.86

FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 49.6 (dropped) · 2021: 84.79 (dropped) · 2022: 71.08 · 2023: 52 · 2024: 77.56 (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 66.88 bu.

At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($5.58/bu), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the county yield comes in below 69.4 bu, reaching its cap below 60.1 bu.

PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 66.88 bu county yield, 2026 prices

PLC yield, % of your official benchmarkWhich pays more, by season-average price
60%
40.1 bu
PLC pays more at $4.29 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $4.30 to $5.78. Neither pays at $5.79 or higher.
70%
46.8 bu
PLC pays more at $4.47 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $4.48 to $5.78. Neither pays at $5.79 or higher.
80%
53.5 bu
PLC pays more at $4.61 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $4.62 to $5.78. Neither pays at $5.79 or higher.
90%
60.2 bu
PLC pays more at $4.72 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $4.73 to $5.78. Neither pays at $5.79 or higher.
100%
66.9 bu
PLC pays more at $4.80 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $4.81 to $5.78. Neither pays at $5.79 or higher.

FSA history, all practices

YearBenchmarkPriceCounty yieldARC-CO $/ac
202180.63$4.9584.79none
202277.46$4.9571.08none
202378.54$4.9525.05$38.88
202474.24$5.0777.56none
202568.75$6.1090.07none

Program year; benchmark yield in bu/acre; benchmark price $/bu; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.

Oats 2026 in Aroostook County: ARC-CO benchmark and break-even

All oats counties.

All practices: no typical-farm verdict. FSA’s average PLC yield for the county (67.4 bu) covers all practices and is above this benchmark (64.48 bu), so it does not describe a typical farm here. Run your own PLC yield below.

Average PLC yield on enrolled oats base in this county: 67.4 bu (FSA, program year 2025). Your farm’s own is on the FSA-156EZ.

All practices: official 2026 ARC-CO benchmark

Benchmark yield (FSA)64.48 bu
Benchmark price 2026$3.94
Benchmark revenue$254.05/ac
Guarantee (90%)$228.65/ac
Max payment (12%)$30.49/ac
Max per base acre (×85%)$25.91

FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 53.6 · 2021: 89.66 (dropped) · 2022: 82.31 · 2023: 52.38 (dropped) · 2024: 57.53 (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 64.48 bu.

At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($3.05/bu), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the county yield comes in below 75.0 bu, reaching its cap below 65.0 bu.

PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 64.48 bu county yield, 2026 prices

PLC yield, % of your official benchmarkWhich pays more, by season-average price
60%
38.7 bu
PLC pays more at $2.26 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $2.27 to $3.54. Neither pays at $3.55 or higher.
70%
45.1 bu
PLC pays more at $2.37 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $2.38 to $3.54. Neither pays at $3.55 or higher.
80%
51.6 bu
PLC pays more at $2.45 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $2.46 to $3.54. Neither pays at $3.55 or higher.
90%
58.0 bu
PLC pays more at $2.52 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $2.53 to $3.54. Neither pays at $3.55 or higher.
100%
64.5 bu
PLC pays more at $2.57 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $2.58 to $3.54. Neither pays at $3.55 or higher.

FSA history, all practices

YearBenchmarkPriceCounty yieldARC-CO $/ac
202168.13$2.5589.66none
202265.55$2.6782.31none
202370.24$2.7552.38none
202474.28$3.3857.53$23.19
202571.78$3.8479.89none

Program year; benchmark yield in bu/acre; benchmark price $/bu; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.

Soybeans 2026 in Aroostook County: Neither expected to pay

All practices, 2026: Neither expected to pay (expected $0 PLC vs $0 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 0 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 0).

PLC pays on any season-average price below $10.71, up to $80.68 per base acre at the $6.82 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $45.66 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 0 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $12.00, PLC is expected to pay $0 and ARC-CO $0 per base acre.

2027: Close, either one: about $2.30 apart, too small or too uncertain to call (expected $1.97 PLC vs $4.27 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 2 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 1). The 2027 view uses FSA’s 2026 benchmark; FSA posts 2027 later.

For a typical farm: FSA’s county average PLC yield 24.4 bu (program year 2025) and the official 36.78 bu benchmark. County yields from this county’s own FSA yields. Run your own numbers in the calculator below.

Average PLC yield on enrolled soybeans base in this county: 24.4 bu (FSA, program year 2025). Your farm’s own is on the FSA-156EZ.

All practices: official 2026 ARC-CO benchmark

Benchmark yield (FSA)36.78 bu
Benchmark price 2026$12.17
Benchmark revenue$447.61/ac
Guarantee (90%)$402.85/ac
Max payment (12%)$53.71/ac
Max per base acre (×85%)$45.66

FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 32.8 · 2021: 32 (dropped) · 2022: 50 (dropped) · 2023: 35 · 2024: 42.55 (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 36.78 bu.

At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($10.71/bu), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the county yield comes in below 37.6 bu, reaching its cap below 32.6 bu.

PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 36.78 bu county yield, 2026 prices

PLC yield, % of your official benchmarkWhich pays more, by season-average price
60%
22.1 bu
PLC pays more at $8.27 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $8.28 to $10.95. Neither pays at $10.96 or higher.
70%
25.7 bu
PLC pays more at $8.61 or lower. Both pay the same at $8.62. ARC-CO pays more from $8.63 to $10.95. Neither pays at $10.96 or higher.
80%
29.4 bu
PLC pays more at $8.88 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $8.89 to $10.95. Neither pays at $10.96 or higher.
90%
33.1 bu
PLC pays more at $9.08 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $9.09 to $10.95. Neither pays at $10.96 or higher.
100%
36.8 bu
PLC pays more at $9.25 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $9.26 to $10.95. Neither pays at $10.96 or higher.

FSA history, all practices

YearBenchmarkPriceCounty yieldARC-CO $/ac
202138.33$8.9524.00none
202235.60$9.1250.00none
202333.87$9.5735.00none
202436.60$11.1242.55none
202534.60$12.1740.00none

Program year; benchmark yield in bu/acre; benchmark price $/bu; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.

Wheat 2026 in Aroostook County: ARC-CO benchmark and break-even

All practices: no typical-farm verdict. FSA’s average PLC yield for the county (48.8 bu) covers all practices and is above this benchmark (45.73 bu), so it does not describe a typical farm here. Run your own PLC yield below.

Average PLC yield on enrolled wheat base in this county: 48.8 bu (FSA, program year 2025). Your farm’s own is on the FSA-156EZ.

All practices: official 2026 ARC-CO benchmark

Benchmark yield (FSA)45.73 bu
Benchmark price 2026$6.98
Benchmark revenue$319.20/ac
Guarantee (90%)$287.28/ac
Max payment (12%)$38.30/ac
Max per base acre (×85%)$32.56

FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 30.4 (dropped) · 2021: 53.1 · 2022: 48.9 · 2023: 35.2 · 2024: 56.9 (dropped) (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 45.73 bu.

At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($6.35/bu), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the county yield comes in below 45.2 bu, reaching its cap below 39.2 bu.

PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 45.73 bu county yield, 2026 prices

PLC yield, % of your official benchmarkWhich pays more, by season-average price
60%
27.4 bu
PLC pays more at $4.95 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $4.96 to $6.17. Both pay the same at $6.18. PLC pays more from $6.19 to $6.34. Neither pays at $6.35 or higher.
70%
32.0 bu
PLC pays more at $5.15 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $5.16 to $6.12. PLC pays more from $6.13 to $6.34. Neither pays at $6.35 or higher.
80%
36.6 bu
PLC pays more at $5.30 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $5.31 to $6.00. PLC pays more from $6.01 to $6.34. Neither pays at $6.35 or higher.
90%
41.2 bu
PLC pays more at $5.42 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $5.43 to $5.66. PLC pays more from $5.67 to $6.34. Neither pays at $6.35 or higher.
100%
45.7 bu
PLC pays more at $6.34 or lower. Neither pays at $6.35 or higher.

FSA history, all practices

YearBenchmarkPriceCounty yieldARC-CO $/ac
202147.37$5.5053.10none
202241.88$5.5048.90none
202341.88$5.5031.09none
202446.33$6.2156.90none
202545.51$6.9852.80$18.72

Program year; benchmark yield in bu/acre; benchmark price $/bu; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.

Canola 2026 in Aroostook County: Close, either one

All canola counties.

All practices, 2026: Close, either one: about $0.59 apart, too small or too uncertain to call (expected $2.24 PLC vs $1.65 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 3 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 1).

PLC pays on any season-average price below $0.2375, up to $122.64 per base acre at the $0.1110 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $48.35 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 3 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $0.2450, PLC is expected to pay $2.24 and ARC-CO $1.65 per base acre.

2027: No 2027 price yet: there is no 2027 price outlook for this crop we can check against past years, so no call. Type a price in the calculator to see the dollars. The 2027 view uses FSA’s 2026 benchmark; FSA posts 2027 later.

For a typical farm: FSA’s county average PLC yield 1,140.6 lb (program year 2025) and the official 1,826.67 lb benchmark. County yields from this county’s own FSA yields. Run your own numbers in the calculator below.

Average PLC yield on enrolled canola base in this county: 1,140.6 lb (FSA, program year 2025). Your farm’s own is on the FSA-156EZ.

All practices: official 2026 ARC-CO benchmark

Benchmark yield (FSA)1,826.67 lb
Benchmark price 2026$0.2595
Benchmark revenue$474.02/ac
Guarantee (90%)$426.62/ac
Max payment (12%)$56.88/ac
Max per base acre (×85%)$48.35

FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 1208.8 (dropped) · 2021: 2500 (dropped) · 2022: 1820 · 2023: 1810 · 2024: 1850 (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 1,826.67 lb.

At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($0.2375/lb), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the county yield comes in below 1,796.3 lb, reaching its cap below 1,556.8 lb.

PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 1,826.67 lb county yield, 2026 prices

PLC yield, % of your official benchmarkWhich pays more, by season-average price
60%
1,096.0 lb
PLC pays more at $0.1855 or lower. Both pay the same at $0.1856. ARC-CO pays more from $0.1857 to $0.2276. PLC pays more from $0.2277 to $0.2374. Neither pays at $0.2375 or higher.
70%
1,278.7 lb
PLC pays more at $0.1930 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $0.1931 to $0.2243. PLC pays more from $0.2244 to $0.2374. Neither pays at $0.2375 or higher.
80%
1,461.3 lb
PLC pays more at $0.1985 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $0.1986 to $0.2177. PLC pays more from $0.2178 to $0.2374. Neither pays at $0.2375 or higher.
90%
1,644.0 lb
PLC pays more at $0.2374 or lower. Neither pays at $0.2375 or higher.
100%
1,826.7 lb
PLC pays more at $0.2374 or lower. Neither pays at $0.2375 or higher.

FSA history, all practices

YearBenchmarkPriceCounty yieldARC-CO $/ac
20211,662.00$0.20152500.00none
20221,592.93$0.20151820.00none
20231,719.60$0.20151810.00none
20241,692.93$0.23371850.00none
20251,612.93$0.25952120.00none

Program year; benchmark yield in lb/acre; benchmark price $/lb; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.

Corn 2026 in Aroostook County: Leans ARC-CO

All practices, 2026: Leans ARC-CO: expected about $3.63 more per base acre; PLC did not pay more in any of the 11 years, but the gap is within the normal swing (expected $0.62 PLC vs $4.25 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 0 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 4).

PLC pays on any season-average price below $4.42, up to $148.07 per base acre at the $2.42 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $75.91 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 4 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $4.70, PLC is expected to pay $0.62 and ARC-CO $4.25 per base acre.

2027: Close, either one: about $3.46 apart, too small or too uncertain to call (expected $6.76 PLC vs $10.22 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 0 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 2). The 2027 view uses FSA’s 2026 benchmark; FSA posts 2027 later.

For a typical farm: FSA’s county average PLC yield 87.1 bu (program year 2025) and the official 147.95 bu benchmark. County yields from this county’s own FSA yields. Run your own numbers in the calculator below.

Average PLC yield on enrolled corn base in this county: 87.1 bu (FSA, program year 2025). Your farm’s own is on the FSA-156EZ.

All practices: official 2026 ARC-CO benchmark

Benchmark yield (FSA)147.95 bu
Benchmark price 2026$5.03
Benchmark revenue$744.19/ac
Guarantee (90%)$669.77/ac
Max payment (12%)$89.30/ac
Max per base acre (×85%)$75.91

FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 140 (dropped) · 2021: 169 (dropped) · 2022: 150 · 2023: 143 · 2024: 150.86 (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 147.95 bu.

At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($4.42/bu), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the county yield comes in below 151.5 bu, reaching its cap below 131.3 bu.

PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 147.95 bu county yield, 2026 prices

PLC yield, % of your official benchmarkWhich pays more, by season-average price
60%
88.8 bu
PLC pays more at $3.41 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.42 to $4.52. Neither pays at $4.53 or higher.
70%
103.6 bu
PLC pays more at $3.55 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.56 to $4.52. Neither pays at $4.53 or higher.
80%
118.4 bu
PLC pays more at $3.66 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.67 to $4.52. Neither pays at $4.53 or higher.
90%
133.2 bu
PLC pays more at $3.74 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.75 to $4.52. Neither pays at $4.53 or higher.
100%
148.0 bu
PLC pays more at $3.81 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.82 to $4.52. Neither pays at $4.53 or higher.

FSA history, all practices

YearBenchmarkPriceCounty yieldARC-CO $/ac
2021149.67$3.70169.00none
2022147.33$3.70150.00none
2023147.33$3.98143.00none
2024150.67$4.85150.86none
2025145.67$5.03140.00$77.05

Program year; benchmark yield in bu/acre; benchmark price $/bu; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.

Mustard seed 2026 in Aroostook County: ARC-CO benchmark and break-even

All mustard seed counties.

All practices: no typical-farm verdict. FSA’s average PLC yield for the county (608.0 lb) covers all practices and is above this benchmark (578.00 lb), so it does not describe a typical farm here. Run your own PLC yield below.

Average PLC yield on enrolled mustard seed base in this county: 608.0 lb (FSA, program year 2025). Your farm’s own is on the FSA-156EZ.

All practices: official 2026 ARC-CO benchmark

Benchmark yield (FSA)578.00 lb
Benchmark price 2026$0.3937
Benchmark revenue$227.56/ac
Guarantee (90%)$204.80/ac
Max payment (12%)$27.31/ac
Max per base acre (×85%)$23.21

FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 600 · 2021: 491 (dropped) · 2022: 557 · 2023: 627 (dropped) · 2024: 577 (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 578.00 lb.

At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($0.2731/lb), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the county yield comes in below 749.9 lb, reaching its cap below 649.9 lb.

PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 578.00 lb county yield, 2026 prices

PLC yield, % of your official benchmarkWhich pays more, by season-average price
60%
346.8 lb
PLC pays more at $0.1943 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $0.1944 to $0.3543. Neither pays at $0.3544 or higher.
70%
404.6 lb
PLC pays more at $0.2055 or lower. Both pay the same at $0.2056. ARC-CO pays more from $0.2057 to $0.3543. Neither pays at $0.3544 or higher.
80%
462.4 lb
PLC pays more at $0.2140 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $0.2141 to $0.3543. Neither pays at $0.3544 or higher.
90%
520.2 lb
PLC pays more at $0.2205 or lower. Both pay the same at $0.2206. ARC-CO pays more from $0.2207 to $0.3543. Neither pays at $0.3544 or higher.
100%
578.0 lb
PLC pays more at $0.2258 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $0.2259 to $0.3543. Neither pays at $0.3544 or higher.

FSA history, all practices

YearBenchmarkPriceCounty yieldARC-CO $/ac
2021606.33$0.3020491.00$4.77
2022621.33$0.2850557.00none
2023595.67$0.2850627.00none
2024570.67$0.2880577.00none
2025570.67$0.3350636.00none

Program year; benchmark yield in lb/acre; benchmark price $/lb; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.

Sunflower seed 2026 in Aroostook County: Close, either one

All sunflower seed counties.

All practices, 2026: Close, either one: about $1.32 apart, too small or too uncertain to call (expected $1.32 PLC vs $0 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 3 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 0).

PLC pays on any season-average price below $0.2375, up to $102.12 per base acre at the $0.1110 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $44.23 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 0 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $0.2470, PLC is expected to pay $1.32 and ARC-CO $0 per base acre.

2027: Waiting on USDA’s closing 2025 season-average price, which sets the 2027 reference price. The 2027 view uses FSA’s 2026 benchmark; FSA posts 2027 later.

For a typical farm: FSA’s county average PLC yield 949.7 lb (program year 2025) and the official 1,726.33 lb benchmark. County yields from this county’s own FSA yields. Run your own numbers in the calculator below.

Average PLC yield on enrolled sunflower seed base in this county: 949.7 lb (FSA, program year 2025). Your farm’s own is on the FSA-156EZ.

All practices: official 2026 ARC-CO benchmark

Benchmark yield (FSA)1,726.33 lb
Benchmark price 2026$0.2512
Benchmark revenue$433.65/ac
Guarantee (90%)$390.29/ac
Max payment (12%)$52.04/ac
Max per base acre (×85%)$44.23

FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 1024 (dropped) · 2021: 1581 · 2022: 1846 · 2023: 1998 (dropped) · 2024: 1752 (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 1,726.33 lb.

At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($0.2375/lb), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the county yield comes in below 1,643.3 lb, reaching its cap below 1,424.2 lb.

PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 1,726.33 lb county yield, 2026 prices

PLC yield, % of your official benchmarkWhich pays more, by season-average price
60%
1,035.8 lb
PLC pays more at $0.1872 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $0.1873 to $0.2089. PLC pays more from $0.2090 to $0.2374. Neither pays at $0.2375 or higher.
70%
1,208.4 lb
PLC pays more at $0.1944 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $0.1945 to $0.1994. PLC pays more from $0.1995 to $0.2374. Neither pays at $0.2375 or higher.
80%
1,381.1 lb
PLC pays more at $0.2374 or lower. Neither pays at $0.2375 or higher.
90%
1,553.7 lb
PLC pays more at $0.2374 or lower. Neither pays at $0.2375 or higher.
100%
1,726.3 lb
PLC pays more at $0.2374 or lower. Neither pays at $0.2375 or higher.

FSA history, all practices

YearBenchmarkPriceCounty yieldARC-CO $/ac
20211,620.00$0.20151581.00none
20221,620.00$0.20151846.00none
20231,647.00$0.20531998.00none
20241,642.33$0.23081752.00none
20251,642.33$0.25101958.00none

Program year; benchmark yield in lb/acre; benchmark price $/lb; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.

Sorghum 2026 in Aroostook County: ARC-CO benchmark and break-even

All sorghum counties.

All practices: official 2026 ARC-CO benchmark

Benchmark yield (FSA)74.00 bu
Benchmark price 2026$5.30
Benchmark revenue$392.20/ac
Guarantee (90%)$352.98/ac
Max payment (12%)$47.06/ac
Max per base acre (×85%)$40.00

FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 75 · 2021: 69 (dropped) · 2022: 71 · 2023: 90 (dropped) · 2024: 76 (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 74.00 bu.

At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($4.67/bu), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the county yield comes in below 75.6 bu, reaching its cap below 65.5 bu.

PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 74.00 bu county yield, 2026 prices

PLC yield, % of your official benchmarkWhich pays more, by season-average price
60%
44.4 bu
PLC pays more at $3.60 or lower. Both pay the same at $3.61. ARC-CO pays more from $3.62 to $4.76. Neither pays at $4.77 or higher.
70%
51.8 bu
PLC pays more at $3.76 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.77 to $4.76. Neither pays at $4.77 or higher.
80%
59.2 bu
PLC pays more at $3.87 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.88 to $4.76. Neither pays at $4.77 or higher.
90%
66.6 bu
PLC pays more at $3.96 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.97 to $4.76. Neither pays at $4.77 or higher.
100%
74.0 bu
PLC pays more at $4.03 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $4.04 to $4.76. Neither pays at $4.77 or higher.

FSA history, all practices

YearBenchmarkPriceCounty yieldARC-CO $/ac
202173.00$3.9569.00none
202274.00$3.9571.00none
202370.67$4.3190.00none
202471.67$5.0176.00none
202571.67$5.3080.00$45.58

Program year; benchmark yield in bu/acre; benchmark price $/bu; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.

Break-even prices are per base acre with both programs on 85% of base and 2026 prices. Your PLC yield is on the FSA-156EZ.

Run every number for your farm

Run your farm’s numbers

Run each crop on each FSA farm number separately. The election is made crop by crop, farm by farm.

From the FSA-156EZ. Base acres are not what you plant; each farm number has its own base.

On the FSA-156EZ for the farm. Each farm has its own.

Fills in from FSA’s official county file when we have it. You can type the number your county office gives you.

County average, not your farm. A normal year often comes in a bit above this.

USDA national season-average price for the marketing year, not your local cash price.

Goes on the printout and keeps each farm’s numbers apart on this device.

Loading FSA and USDA numbers for the calculator.

Questions about Aroostook County

Should I pick ARC or PLC for barley in Aroostook County for 2026?

For a typical farm (all practices): Leans ARC-CO: expected about $8.24 more per base acre; PLC did not pay more in any of the 11 years, but the gap is within the normal swing (expected $4.21 PLC vs $12.45 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 0 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 8). Capped at Leans: this crop borrows corn’s price swings. PLC pays on any season-average price below $5.58, up to $145.53 per base acre at the $2.75 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $43.86 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 8 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $5.70, PLC is expected to pay $4.21 and ARC-CO $12.45 per base acre. Run your own PLC yield and base acres; the answer can change.

What is the ARC-CO benchmark yield for barley in Aroostook County?

FSA's official 2026 benchmark yield for barley in Aroostook County, Maine is 66.88 bu (all practices). The 2026 benchmark price is $6.43 per bushel. FSA has not posted the 2027 benchmark.

What is the ARC-CO benchmark yield for oats in Aroostook County?

FSA's official 2026 benchmark yield for oats in Aroostook County, Maine is 64.48 bu (all practices). The 2026 benchmark price is $3.94 per bushel. FSA has not posted the 2027 benchmark.

Should I pick ARC or PLC for soybeans in Aroostook County for 2026?

For a typical farm (all practices): Neither expected to pay (expected $0 PLC vs $0 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 0 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 0). PLC pays on any season-average price below $10.71, up to $80.68 per base acre at the $6.82 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $45.66 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 0 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $12.00, PLC is expected to pay $0 and ARC-CO $0 per base acre. Run your own PLC yield and base acres; the answer can change.

What is the ARC-CO benchmark yield for soybeans in Aroostook County?

FSA's official 2026 benchmark yield for soybeans in Aroostook County, Maine is 36.78 bu (all practices). The 2026 benchmark price is $12.17 per bushel. FSA has not posted the 2027 benchmark.

What is the ARC-CO benchmark yield for wheat in Aroostook County?

FSA's official 2026 benchmark yield for wheat in Aroostook County, Maine is 45.73 bu (all practices). The 2026 benchmark price is $6.98 per bushel. FSA has not posted the 2027 benchmark.

Should I pick ARC or PLC for canola in Aroostook County for 2026?

For a typical farm (all practices): Close, either one: about $0.59 apart, too small or too uncertain to call (expected $2.24 PLC vs $1.65 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 3 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 1). PLC pays on any season-average price below $0.2375, up to $122.64 per base acre at the $0.1110 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $48.35 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 3 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $0.2450, PLC is expected to pay $2.24 and ARC-CO $1.65 per base acre. Run your own PLC yield and base acres; the answer can change.

What is the ARC-CO benchmark yield for canola in Aroostook County?

FSA's official 2026 benchmark yield for canola in Aroostook County, Maine is 1,826.67 lb (all practices). The 2026 benchmark price is $0.2595 per pound. FSA has not posted the 2027 benchmark.

Should I pick ARC or PLC for corn in Aroostook County for 2026?

For a typical farm (all practices): Leans ARC-CO: expected about $3.63 more per base acre; PLC did not pay more in any of the 11 years, but the gap is within the normal swing (expected $0.62 PLC vs $4.25 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 0 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 4). PLC pays on any season-average price below $4.42, up to $148.07 per base acre at the $2.42 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $75.91 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 4 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $4.70, PLC is expected to pay $0.62 and ARC-CO $4.25 per base acre. Run your own PLC yield and base acres; the answer can change.

What is the ARC-CO benchmark yield for corn in Aroostook County?

FSA's official 2026 benchmark yield for corn in Aroostook County, Maine is 147.95 bu (all practices). The 2026 benchmark price is $5.03 per bushel. FSA has not posted the 2027 benchmark.

What is the ARC-CO benchmark yield for mustard seed in Aroostook County?

FSA's official 2026 benchmark yield for mustard seed in Aroostook County, Maine is 578.00 lb (all practices). The 2026 benchmark price is $0.3937 per pound. FSA has not posted the 2027 benchmark.

Should I pick ARC or PLC for sunflower seed in Aroostook County for 2026?

For a typical farm (all practices): Close, either one: about $1.32 apart, too small or too uncertain to call (expected $1.32 PLC vs $0 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 3 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 0). PLC pays on any season-average price below $0.2375, up to $102.12 per base acre at the $0.1110 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $44.23 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 0 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $0.2470, PLC is expected to pay $1.32 and ARC-CO $0 per base acre. Run your own PLC yield and base acres; the answer can change.

What is the ARC-CO benchmark yield for sunflower seed in Aroostook County?

FSA's official 2026 benchmark yield for sunflower seed in Aroostook County, Maine is 1,726.33 lb (all practices). The 2026 benchmark price is $0.2512 per pound. FSA has not posted the 2027 benchmark.

What is the ARC-CO benchmark yield for sorghum in Aroostook County?

FSA's official 2026 benchmark yield for sorghum in Aroostook County, Maine is 74.00 bu (all practices). The 2026 benchmark price is $5.30 per bushel. FSA has not posted the 2027 benchmark.

An estimate, not a USDA determination. Source: FSA ARC/PLC program data. Find your county office.

Related: All Maine counties · ARC or PLC calculator and method · Aroostook County in the Farmland Atlas

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