What pays more on your base acres for a typical farm here, crop by crop. 2026 signup ends Dec 11.
Is your farm’s PLC yield lower, about the same, or higher than most farms here?
Your PLC yield is on your farm’s FSA-156EZ. Not sure? Leave it on About the same.
Your main crops
Clear pickLeansCloseNo answer yet
Seed cotton · irrigated
PLCLeans
PLC comes out about $24 more per base acre, but that swings from year to year. ARC-CO did not come out ahead in any of the 11 price years we ran. Seed cotton borrows corn’s price swings, so it stops at Leans.
PLC only pays if seed cotton averages under 42 cents a pound for 2026.
Figured with the county’s all-practice PLC yield; an irrigated farm’s own is often higher.
Non-irrigated ground: leans PLC.
2027: waiting on USDA’s closing 2025 price
PLCLeans
PLC comes out about $29 more per base acre, but that swings from year to year. ARC-CO did not come out ahead in any of the 11 price years we ran. Seed cotton borrows corn’s price swings, so it stops at Leans.
PLC only pays if seed cotton averages under 42 cents a pound for 2026.
Figured with the county’s all-practice PLC yield; an irrigated farm’s own is often higher.
Non-irrigated ground: ask your FSA office.
2027: waiting on USDA’s closing 2025 price
PLCLeans
PLC comes out about $34 more per base acre, but that swings from year to year. ARC-CO did not come out ahead in any of the 11 price years we ran. Seed cotton borrows corn’s price swings, so it stops at Leans.
PLC only pays if seed cotton averages under 42 cents a pound for 2026.
Figured with the county’s all-practice PLC yield; an irrigated farm’s own is often higher.
Non-irrigated ground: ask your FSA office.
2027: waiting on USDA’s closing 2025 price
Peanuts · irrigated
PLCLeans
PLC comes out about $63 more per base acre, but that swings from year to year. ARC-CO did not come out ahead in any of the 11 price years we ran. Peanuts borrow corn’s price swings, so they stop at Leans.
PLC only pays if peanuts average under 31.5 cents a pound for 2026.
Figured with the county’s all-practice PLC yield; an irrigated farm’s own is often higher.
Non-irrigated ground: leans PLC.
2027: no 2027 price yet
PLCLeans
PLC comes out about $98 more per base acre, but that swings from year to year. ARC-CO did not come out ahead in any of the 11 price years we ran. Peanuts borrow corn’s price swings, so they stop at Leans.
PLC only pays if peanuts average under 31.5 cents a pound for 2026.
Figured with the county’s all-practice PLC yield; an irrigated farm’s own is often higher.
Non-irrigated ground: ask your FSA office.
2027: no 2027 price yet
PLCLeans
PLC comes out about $132 more per base acre, but that swings from year to year. ARC-CO did not come out ahead in any of the 11 price years we ran. Peanuts borrow corn’s price swings, so they stop at Leans.
PLC only pays if peanuts average under 31.5 cents a pound for 2026.
Figured with the county’s all-practice PLC yield; an irrigated farm’s own is often higher.
Non-irrigated ground: ask your FSA office.
2027: no 2027 price yet
Wheat · non-irrigated
Either oneClose
They come out less than $1 apart per base acre.
PLC only pays if wheat averages under $6.35 a bushel for 2026.
Irrigated ground: leans ARC-CO. Figured with the county’s all-practice PLC yield; an irrigated farm’s own is often higher.
2027: no 2027 price yet
Either oneClose
They come out about $1 apart per base acre. Too small to matter.
PLC only pays if wheat averages under $6.35 a bushel for 2026.
Irrigated ground: either one. Figured with the county’s all-practice PLC yield; an irrigated farm’s own is often higher.
2027: no 2027 price yet
Ask FSANo answer yet
A PLC yield that high is above the county benchmark yield, so this page cannot figure it. Ask your FSA office.
Irrigated ground: either one. Figured with the county’s all-practice PLC yield; an irrigated farm’s own is often higher.
2027: ask your FSA office
Smaller crops here
Each has under 4,600 enrolled base acres in the whole county (FSA, program year 2025).
Soybeans · non-irrigated
Neither expected to payClose
Neither one is likely to pay on soybeans for 2026 at USDA’s price outlook ($12.00).
PLC only pays if soybeans average under $10.71 a bushel for 2026.
Irrigated ground: neither pays. Figured with the county’s all-practice PLC yield; an irrigated farm’s own is often higher.
2027: leans ARC-CO
Neither expected to payClose
Neither one is likely to pay on soybeans for 2026 at USDA’s price outlook ($12.00).
PLC only pays if soybeans average under $10.71 a bushel for 2026.
Irrigated ground: neither pays. Figured with the county’s all-practice PLC yield; an irrigated farm’s own is often higher.
2027: leans ARC-CO
Neither expected to payClose
Neither one is likely to pay on soybeans for 2026 at USDA’s price outlook ($12.00).
PLC only pays if soybeans average under $10.71 a bushel for 2026.
Irrigated ground: neither pays. Figured with the county’s all-practice PLC yield; an irrigated farm’s own is often higher.
2027: leans ARC-CO
Corn · irrigated
ARC-COLeans
ARC-CO comes out about $6 more per base acre, but that swings from year to year. PLC did not come out ahead in any of the 11 price years we ran.
PLC only pays if corn averages under $4.42 a bushel for 2026.
Figured with the county’s all-practice PLC yield; an irrigated farm’s own is often higher.
Non-irrigated ground: ask your FSA office.
2027: leans ARC-CO
ARC-COLeans
ARC-CO comes out about $5 more per base acre, but that swings from year to year. PLC did not come out ahead in any of the 11 price years we ran.
PLC only pays if corn averages under $4.42 a bushel for 2026.
Figured with the county’s all-practice PLC yield; an irrigated farm’s own is often higher.
Non-irrigated ground: ask your FSA office.
2027: leans ARC-CO
ARC-COLeans
ARC-CO comes out about $5 more per base acre, but that swings from year to year. PLC did not come out ahead in any of the 11 price years we ran.
PLC only pays if corn averages under $4.42 a bushel for 2026.
Figured with the county’s all-practice PLC yield; an irrigated farm’s own is often higher.
Non-irrigated ground: ask your FSA office.
2027: leans ARC-CO
Deadlines
Dec 112026 signup ends Dec 11, 2026.
Nov 2 to Mar 152027 signup runs Nov 2, 2026 to Mar 15, 2027.
Skip itDo nothing for 2026 and that farm gets no 2026 payment.
SignEvery owner and operator on the farm signs.
BringBring the farm’s FSA-156EZ. It lists the base acres and PLC yields.
2026. The 2026 crop is mostly harvested, so each scenario uses a normal Dooly County crop (FSA’s 2026 benchmark yield) and only the price moves.
Prices start from USDA’s projected 2026/27 season-average prices (FSA table of Sep 11, 2026: seed cotton $0.4114, peanuts $0.2400; USDA WASDE, Oct 9, 2026: wheat $6.30, soybeans $12.00, corn $4.70). Around that price we ran each past year with a final USDA price: how far that year’s final season-average
price ended from October futures, for corn and soybeans. Seed cotton, peanuts, wheat have no October futures history of their own, so they borrow corn’s October swings (wheat its own price changes, scaled to corn’s size) and stop at Leans.
Two price starts. Corn: USDA $4.70; futures-based $4.97 (Dec '26 October average so far, $5.01 over 5 of 22 trading days, × 0.991, the 2015 to 2025 average of final price / October futures). Here, the typical farm’s answer at that start: neither expected to pay, against leans ARC-CO at USDA’s start. Soybeans: USDA $12.00; futures-based $12.84 (Nov '26 October average so far, $12.89 over 5 of 22 trading days, × 0.996, the 2015 to 2025 average of final price / October futures). Here, the typical farm’s answer at that start: neither expected to pay (the same). Where the two disagree on which program leads, or on a clear pick, a clear pick drops to Leans.
2027. Corn and soybeans start from futures: corn $4.91 (Dec 2027 corn futures $5.12 (Oct 9, 2026) × 0.959, the 2011 to 2025 average of final MYA / February futures); soybeans $12.17 (Nov 2027 soybean futures $12.45 (Oct 9, 2026) × 0.978, the 2011 to 2025 average of final MYA / February futures). Each scenario year also moves the county yield the way it moved that year. Peanuts, wheat: no 2027 price outlook we can check against past years, so no 2027 answer. Seed cotton wait on USDA’s closing 2025 price, which sets the 2027 reference price.
Typical farm. FSA’s county average PLC yield (seed cotton 2,102.1 lb; peanuts 3,617.5 lb; wheat 45.8 bu; soybeans 25.4 bu; corn 140.7 bu) and FSA’s official benchmark. “Lower” and “Higher” mean 15% under or over the
county average. Payments are per base acre and count FSA’s 85% payment acres, before sequestration and payment limits.
How we call it.Clear pick when one program averages at least $2.00 more per base acre, the gap is more than t times its standard error
(2.26 for 10 years, 2.23 for 11), and it paid more in at least 3 of the years. Leans when the gap is at least $3.00 and one standard error, and it paid more in
at least 3 years. Close otherwise. When both round to $0: neither expected to pay.
Average payment per base acre over the scenario years, typical farm (about the same PLC yield).
Crop
Practice
Year
PLC
ARC-CO
Answer
Seed cotton
Non-irrigated
2026
none
none
Ask FSA
Seed cotton
Non-irrigated
2027
none
none
Wait for USDA
Seed cotton
Irrigated
2026
$31.25
$2.26
Leans PLC
Seed cotton
Irrigated
2027
none
none
Wait for USDA
Peanuts
Non-irrigated
2026
none
none
Ask FSA
Peanuts
Non-irrigated
2027
none
none
Ask FSA
Peanuts
Irrigated
2026
$230.62
$132.88
Leans PLC
Peanuts
Irrigated
2027
none
none
No 2027 price yet
Wheat
Non-irrigated
2026
$8.44
$7.24
Either one
Wheat
Non-irrigated
2027
none
none
No 2027 price yet
Wheat
Irrigated
2026
$8.44
$9.60
Either one
Wheat
Irrigated
2027
none
none
No 2027 price yet
Soybeans
Non-irrigated
2026
$0
$0
Neither pays
Soybeans
Non-irrigated
2027
$2.05
$15.18
Leans ARC-CO
Soybeans
Irrigated
2026
$0
$0
Neither pays
Soybeans
Irrigated
2027
$2.05
$19.37
ARC-CO
Corn
Non-irrigated
2026
none
none
Ask FSA
Corn
Non-irrigated
2027
none
none
Ask FSA
Corn
Irrigated
2026
$1.00
$6.44
Leans ARC-CO
Corn
Irrigated
2027
$10.93
$37.28
Leans ARC-CO
Sources. FSA 2026 ARC-CO benchmark yields (county file of Jan 16, 2026); FSA county average PLC yields, program year 2025; FSA price tables of Sep 11, 2026; USDA WASDE, Oct 9, 2026; CME futures: Dec 2026 corn and Nov 2026 soybean October average through Oct 8, 2026; Dec 2027 corn and Nov 2027 soybean close of Oct 9, 2026; USDA NASS season-average prices for closed marketing years; FSA ARC-CO county files, program years 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 (county yields and payments). Full method and back-test.
Seed cotton 2026 in Dooly County: Leans PLC
FSA’s seed cotton price is its own weighted average of the upland cotton lint price and the cottonseed price. We use FSA’s seed cotton series as published and never build it from the lint price. All seed cotton counties.
Non-irrigated: no typical-farm verdict. FSA’s average PLC yield for the county (2,102.1 lb) covers all practices and is above this benchmark (1,844.76 lb), so it does not describe a typical farm here. Run your own PLC yield below.
Irrigated, 2026: Leans PLC: expected about $28.99 more per base acre; ARC-CO did not pay more in any of the 11 years, but the gap is within the normal swing (expected $31.25 PLC vs $2.26 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 8 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 0). Capped at Leans: this crop borrows corn’s price swings.
PLC pays on any season-average price below $0.4200, up to $214.41 per base acre at the $0.3000 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $125.32 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 2 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $0.4114, PLC is expected to pay $31.25 and ARC-CO $2.26 per base acre.
2027: Waiting on USDA’s closing 2025 season-average price, which sets the 2027 reference price. The 2027 view uses FSA’s 2026 benchmark; FSA posts 2027 later.
For a typical farm: FSA’s county average PLC yield 2,102.1 lb (program year 2025) and the official 2,849.93 lb benchmark. That PLC yield is FSA’s average over all practices, irrigated and not; an irrigated farm’s own is often higher. County yields from this county’s own FSA yields. Run your own numbers in the calculator below.
Average PLC yield on enrolled seed cotton base in this county: 2,102.1 lb (FSA, program year 2025). Your farm’s own is on the FSA-156EZ.
Irrigated: official 2026 ARC-CO benchmark
Benchmark yield (FSA)2,849.93 lb
Benchmark price 2026$0.4311
Benchmark revenue$1,228.60/ac
Guarantee (90%)$1,105.74/ac
Max payment (12%)$147.43/ac
Max per base acre (×85%)$125.32
FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 2853.02 · 2021: 2779.06 · 2022: 3018.17 (dropped) · 2023: 2917.68 · 2024: 2746.39 (dropped) (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 2,849.93 lb.
At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($0.4200/lb), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the
county yield comes in below 2,632.7 lb, reaching its cap below 2,281.7 lb.
PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 2,849.93 lb county yield, 2026 prices
PLC yield, % of your official benchmark
Which pays more, by season-average price
60% 1,710.0 lb
PLC pays more at $0.3337 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $0.3338 to $0.3399. PLC pays more from $0.3400 to $0.4199. Neither pays at $0.4200 or higher.
70% 1,995.0 lb
PLC pays more at $0.4199 or lower. Neither pays at $0.4200 or higher.
80% 2,279.9 lb
PLC pays more at $0.4199 or lower. Neither pays at $0.4200 or higher.
90% 2,564.9 lb
PLC pays more at $0.4199 or lower. Neither pays at $0.4200 or higher.
100% 2,849.9 lb
PLC pays more at $0.4199 or lower. Neither pays at $0.4200 or higher.
FSA history, irrigated
Year
Benchmark
Price
County yield
ARC-CO $/ac
2021
2,967.34
$0.3670
2645.98
none
2022
2,870.62
$0.3670
2911.70
none
2023
2,809.10
$0.3670
2837.83
none
2024
2,833.99
$0.3958
2693.16
$47.90
2025
2,906.14
$0.4311
2832.91
$150.34
Program year; benchmark yield in lb/acre; benchmark price $/lb; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.
Non-irrigated: official 2026 ARC-CO benchmark
Benchmark yield (FSA)1,844.76 lb
Benchmark price 2026$0.4311
Benchmark revenue$795.28/ac
Guarantee (90%)$715.75/ac
Max payment (12%)$95.43/ac
Max per base acre (×85%)$81.12
FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 1901.38 · 2021: 2222.95 (dropped) · 2022: 1737.74 · 2023: 1895.16 · 2024: 1580.88 (dropped) (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 1,844.76 lb.
At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($0.4200/lb), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the
county yield comes in below 1,704.2 lb, reaching its cap below 1,476.9 lb.
PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 1,844.76 lb county yield, 2026 prices
PLC yield, % of your official benchmark
Which pays more, by season-average price
60% 1,106.9 lb
PLC pays more at $0.3337 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $0.3338 to $0.3399. PLC pays more from $0.3400 to $0.4199. Neither pays at $0.4200 or higher.
70% 1,291.3 lb
PLC pays more at $0.4199 or lower. Neither pays at $0.4200 or higher.
80% 1,475.8 lb
PLC pays more at $0.4199 or lower. Neither pays at $0.4200 or higher.
90% 1,660.3 lb
PLC pays more at $0.4199 or lower. Neither pays at $0.4200 or higher.
100% 1,844.8 lb
PLC pays more at $0.4199 or lower. Neither pays at $0.4200 or higher.
FSA history, non-irrigated
Year
Benchmark
Price
County yield
ARC-CO $/ac
2021
1,909.10
$0.3670
2118.91
none
2022
1,816.25
$0.3670
1654.51
none
2023
1,914.29
$0.3670
1832.74
none
2024
1,771.01
$0.3958
1539.26
$70.10
2025
1,845.77
$0.4311
1886.16
$73.34
Program year; benchmark yield in lb/acre; benchmark price $/lb; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.
Non-irrigated: no typical-farm verdict. FSA’s average PLC yield for the county (3,617.5 lb) covers all practices and is above this benchmark (3,292.62 lb), so it does not describe a typical farm here. Run your own PLC yield below.
Irrigated, 2026: Leans PLC: expected about $97.74 more per base acre; ARC-CO did not pay more in any of the 11 years, but the gap is within the normal swing (expected $230.62 PLC vs $132.88 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 11 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 0). Capped at Leans: this crop borrows corn’s price swings.
PLC pays on any season-average price below $0.3150, up to $368.99 per base acre at the $0.1950 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $153.12 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 11 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $0.2400, PLC is expected to pay $230.62 and ARC-CO $132.88 per base acre.
2027: No 2027 price yet: there is no 2027 price outlook for this crop we can check against past years, so no call. Type a price in the calculator to see the dollars. The 2027 view uses FSA’s 2026 benchmark; FSA posts 2027 later.
For a typical farm: FSA’s county average PLC yield 3,617.5 lb (program year 2025) and the official 4,765.72 lb benchmark. That PLC yield is FSA’s average over all practices, irrigated and not; an irrigated farm’s own is often higher. County yields from the Georgia average for this crop and practice (the county has fewer than 8 years). Run your own numbers in the calculator below.
Average PLC yield on enrolled peanuts base in this county: 3,617.5 lb (FSA, program year 2025). Your farm’s own is on the FSA-156EZ.
Irrigated: official 2026 ARC-CO benchmark
Benchmark yield (FSA)4,765.72 lb
Benchmark price 2026$0.3150
Benchmark revenue$1,501.20/ac
Guarantee (90%)$1,351.08/ac
Max payment (12%)$180.14/ac
Max per base acre (×85%)$153.12
FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 5160.07 (dropped) · 2021: 4952.28 · 2022: 4400.85 (dropped) · 2023: 4794.14 · 2024: 4550.75 (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 4,765.72 lb.
At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($0.3150/lb), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the
county yield comes in below 4,289.1 lb, reaching its cap below 3,717.3 lb.
PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 4,765.72 lb county yield, 2026 prices
PLC yield, % of your official benchmark
Which pays more, by season-average price
60% 2,859.4 lb
PLC pays more at $0.3149 or lower. Neither pays at $0.3150 or higher.
70% 3,336.0 lb
PLC pays more at $0.3149 or lower. Neither pays at $0.3150 or higher.
80% 3,812.6 lb
PLC pays more at $0.3149 or lower. Neither pays at $0.3150 or higher.
90% 4,289.1 lb
PLC pays more at $0.3149 or lower. Neither pays at $0.3150 or higher.
100% 4,765.7 lb
PLC pays more at $0.3149 or lower. Neither pays at $0.3150 or higher.
FSA history, irrigated
Year
Benchmark
Price
County yield
ARC-CO $/ac
2025
4,922.16
$0.3150
4717.99
$186.06
Program year; benchmark yield in lb/acre; benchmark price $/lb; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.
Non-irrigated: official 2026 ARC-CO benchmark
Benchmark yield (FSA)3,292.62 lb
Benchmark price 2026$0.3150
Benchmark revenue$1,037.18/ac
Guarantee (90%)$933.46/ac
Max payment (12%)$124.46/ac
Max per base acre (×85%)$105.79
FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 3572.75 · 2021: 3882.58 (dropped) · 2022: 2966 (dropped) · 2023: 3262.71 · 2024: 3042.4 (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 3,292.62 lb.
At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($0.3150/lb), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the
county yield comes in below 2,963.4 lb, reaching its cap below 2,568.2 lb.
PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 3,292.62 lb county yield, 2026 prices
PLC yield, % of your official benchmark
Which pays more, by season-average price
60% 1,975.6 lb
PLC pays more at $0.3149 or lower. Neither pays at $0.3150 or higher.
70% 2,304.8 lb
PLC pays more at $0.3149 or lower. Neither pays at $0.3150 or higher.
80% 2,634.1 lb
PLC pays more at $0.3149 or lower. Neither pays at $0.3150 or higher.
90% 2,963.4 lb
PLC pays more at $0.3149 or lower. Neither pays at $0.3150 or higher.
100% 3,292.6 lb
PLC pays more at $0.3149 or lower. Neither pays at $0.3150 or higher.
FSA history, non-irrigated
Year
Benchmark
Price
County yield
ARC-CO $/ac
2025
3,324.52
$0.3150
3381.80
$125.67
Program year; benchmark yield in lb/acre; benchmark price $/lb; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.
Wheat 2026 in Dooly County: Close, either one
Non-irrigated, 2026: Close, either one: about $1.20 apart, too small or too uncertain to call (expected $8.44 PLC vs $7.24 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 6 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 0).
PLC pays on any season-average price below $6.35, up to $102.39 per base acre at the $3.72 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $33.74 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 6 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $6.30, PLC is expected to pay $8.44 and ARC-CO $7.24 per base acre.
2027: No 2027 price yet: there is no 2027 price outlook for this crop we can check against past years, so no call. Type a price in the calculator to see the dollars. The 2027 view uses FSA’s 2026 benchmark; FSA posts 2027 later.
For a typical farm: FSA’s county average PLC yield 45.8 bu (program year 2025) and the official 47.39 bu benchmark. County yields from this county’s own FSA yields. Run your own numbers in the calculator below.
Irrigated, 2026: Close, either one: about $1.16 apart, too small or too uncertain to call (expected $8.44 PLC vs $9.60 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 1 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 5).
PLC pays on any season-average price below $6.35, up to $102.39 per base acre at the $3.72 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $44.77 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 6 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $6.30, PLC is expected to pay $8.44 and ARC-CO $9.60 per base acre.
2027: No 2027 price yet: there is no 2027 price outlook for this crop we can check against past years, so no call. Type a price in the calculator to see the dollars. The 2027 view uses FSA’s 2026 benchmark; FSA posts 2027 later.
For a typical farm: FSA’s county average PLC yield 45.8 bu (program year 2025) and the official 62.88 bu benchmark. That PLC yield is FSA’s average over all practices, irrigated and not; an irrigated farm’s own is often higher. County yields from this county’s own FSA yields. Run your own numbers in the calculator below.
Average PLC yield on enrolled wheat base in this county: 45.8 bu (FSA, program year 2025). Your farm’s own is on the FSA-156EZ.
Irrigated: official 2026 ARC-CO benchmark
Benchmark yield (FSA)62.88 bu
Benchmark price 2026$6.98
Benchmark revenue$438.90/ac
Guarantee (90%)$395.01/ac
Max payment (12%)$52.67/ac
Max per base acre (×85%)$44.77
FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 59.79 · 2021: 71.21 (dropped) · 2022: 54.33 (dropped) · 2023: 57.86 · 2024: 71 (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 62.88 bu.
At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($6.35/bu), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the
county yield comes in below 62.2 bu, reaching its cap below 53.9 bu.
PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 62.88 bu county yield, 2026 prices
PLC yield, % of your official benchmark
Which pays more, by season-average price
60% 37.7 bu
PLC pays more at $4.95 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $4.96 to $6.17. Both pay the same at $6.18. PLC pays more from $6.19 to $6.34. Neither pays at $6.35 or higher.
70% 44.0 bu
PLC pays more at $5.15 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $5.16 to $6.12. PLC pays more from $6.13 to $6.34. Neither pays at $6.35 or higher.
80% 50.3 bu
PLC pays more at $5.30 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $5.31 to $6.00. Both pay the same at $6.01. PLC pays more from $6.02 to $6.34. Neither pays at $6.35 or higher.
90% 56.6 bu
PLC pays more at $5.41 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $5.42 to $5.66. Both pay the same at $5.67. PLC pays more from $5.68 to $6.34. Neither pays at $6.35 or higher.
100% 62.9 bu
PLC pays more at $6.34 or lower. Neither pays at $6.35 or higher.
FSA history, irrigated
Year
Benchmark
Price
County yield
ARC-CO $/ac
2021
56.50
$5.50
68.96
none
2022
56.64
$5.50
52.53
none
2023
58.46
$5.50
56.51
none
2024
58.90
$6.21
70.10
none
2025
58.48
$6.98
74.26
none
Program year; benchmark yield in bu/acre; benchmark price $/bu; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.
Non-irrigated: official 2026 ARC-CO benchmark
Benchmark yield (FSA)47.39 bu
Benchmark price 2026$6.98
Benchmark revenue$330.78/ac
Guarantee (90%)$297.70/ac
Max payment (12%)$39.69/ac
Max per base acre (×85%)$33.74
FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 45.99 · 2021: 53.45 · 2022: 65.48 (dropped) · 2023: 42.73 · 2024: 38.44 (dropped) (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 47.39 bu.
At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($6.35/bu), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the
county yield comes in below 46.9 bu, reaching its cap below 40.6 bu.
PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 47.39 bu county yield, 2026 prices
PLC yield, % of your official benchmark
Which pays more, by season-average price
60% 28.4 bu
PLC pays more at $4.95 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $4.96 to $6.18. PLC pays more from $6.19 to $6.34. Neither pays at $6.35 or higher.
70% 33.2 bu
PLC pays more at $5.15 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $5.16 to $6.12. PLC pays more from $6.13 to $6.34. Neither pays at $6.35 or higher.
80% 37.9 bu
PLC pays more at $5.30 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $5.31 to $6.01. PLC pays more from $6.02 to $6.34. Neither pays at $6.35 or higher.
90% 42.7 bu
PLC pays more at $5.42 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $5.43 to $5.66. PLC pays more from $5.67 to $6.34. Neither pays at $6.35 or higher.
100% 47.4 bu
PLC pays more at $6.34 or lower. Neither pays at $6.35 or higher.
FSA history, non-irrigated
Year
Benchmark
Price
County yield
ARC-CO $/ac
2021
47.77
$5.50
51.35
none
2022
48.33
$5.50
63.80
none
2023
51.53
$5.50
41.47
none
2024
56.48
$6.21
37.11
$35.07
2025
52.37
$6.98
43.97
$43.86
Program year; benchmark yield in bu/acre; benchmark price $/bu; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.
Soybeans 2026 in Dooly County: Neither expected to pay
Non-irrigated, 2026: Neither expected to pay (expected $0 PLC vs $0 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 0 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 0).
PLC pays on any season-average price below $10.71, up to $83.99 per base acre at the $6.82 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $43.91 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 0 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $12.00, PLC is expected to pay $0 and ARC-CO $0 per base acre.
2027: Leans ARC-CO: expected about $13.13 more per base acre; but the gap is within the normal swing, so PLC is a defensible choice (expected $2.05 PLC vs $15.18 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 1 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 4). The 2027 view uses FSA’s 2026 benchmark; FSA posts 2027 later.
For a typical farm: FSA’s county average PLC yield 25.4 bu (program year 2025) and the official 35.37 bu benchmark. County yields from this county’s own FSA yields. Run your own numbers in the calculator below.
Irrigated, 2026: Neither expected to pay (expected $0 PLC vs $0 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 0 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 0).
PLC pays on any season-average price below $10.71, up to $83.99 per base acre at the $6.82 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $62.51 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 0 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $12.00, PLC is expected to pay $0 and ARC-CO $0 per base acre.
2027: Pick ARC-CO (expected $2.05 PLC vs $19.37 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 1 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 4). The 2027 view uses FSA’s 2026 benchmark; FSA posts 2027 later.
For a typical farm: FSA’s county average PLC yield 25.4 bu (program year 2025) and the official 50.36 bu benchmark. That PLC yield is FSA’s average over all practices, irrigated and not; an irrigated farm’s own is often higher. County yields from this county’s own FSA yields. Run your own numbers in the calculator below.
Average PLC yield on enrolled soybeans base in this county: 25.4 bu (FSA, program year 2025). Your farm’s own is on the FSA-156EZ.
Irrigated: official 2026 ARC-CO benchmark
Benchmark yield (FSA)50.36 bu
Benchmark price 2026$12.17
Benchmark revenue$612.88/ac
Guarantee (90%)$551.59/ac
Max payment (12%)$73.55/ac
Max per base acre (×85%)$62.51
FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 47.11 · 2021: 66.29 (dropped) · 2022: 41.28 (dropped) · 2023: 55.74 · 2024: 48.23 (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 50.36 bu.
At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($10.71/bu), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the
county yield comes in below 51.5 bu, reaching its cap below 44.6 bu.
PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 50.36 bu county yield, 2026 prices
PLC yield, % of your official benchmark
Which pays more, by season-average price
60% 30.2 bu
PLC pays more at $8.27 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $8.28 to $10.95. Neither pays at $10.96 or higher.
70% 35.3 bu
PLC pays more at $8.62 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $8.63 to $10.95. Neither pays at $10.96 or higher.
80% 40.3 bu
PLC pays more at $8.88 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $8.89 to $10.95. Neither pays at $10.96 or higher.
90% 45.3 bu
PLC pays more at $9.08 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $9.09 to $10.95. Neither pays at $10.96 or higher.
100% 50.4 bu
PLC pays more at $9.25 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $9.26 to $10.95. Neither pays at $10.96 or higher.
FSA history, irrigated
Year
Benchmark
Price
County yield
ARC-CO $/ac
2021
50.02
$8.95
64.19
none
2022
50.33
$9.12
39.60
none
2023
52.19
$9.57
54.48
none
2024
49.23
$11.12
47.39
none
2025
54.51
$12.17
49.81
$74.04
Program year; benchmark yield in bu/acre; benchmark price $/bu; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.
Non-irrigated: official 2026 ARC-CO benchmark
Benchmark yield (FSA)35.37 bu
Benchmark price 2026$12.17
Benchmark revenue$430.45/ac
Guarantee (90%)$387.41/ac
Max payment (12%)$51.65/ac
Max per base acre (×85%)$43.91
FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 37.93 · 2021: 27.69 (dropped) · 2022: 41.94 (dropped) · 2023: 38.46 · 2024: 29.73 (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 35.37 bu.
At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($10.71/bu), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the
county yield comes in below 36.2 bu, reaching its cap below 31.3 bu.
PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 35.37 bu county yield, 2026 prices
PLC yield, % of your official benchmark
Which pays more, by season-average price
60% 21.2 bu
PLC pays more at $8.27 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $8.28 to $10.95. Neither pays at $10.96 or higher.
70% 24.8 bu
PLC pays more at $8.62 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $8.63 to $10.95. Neither pays at $10.96 or higher.
80% 28.3 bu
PLC pays more at $8.88 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $8.89 to $10.95. Neither pays at $10.96 or higher.
90% 31.8 bu
PLC pays more at $9.08 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $9.09 to $10.95. Neither pays at $10.96 or higher.
100% 35.4 bu
PLC pays more at $9.25 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $9.26 to $10.95. Neither pays at $10.96 or higher.
FSA history, non-irrigated
Year
Benchmark
Price
County yield
ARC-CO $/ac
2021
23.96
$8.95
25.99
none
2022
24.23
$9.12
40.58
none
2023
25.84
$9.57
37.44
none
2024
29.03
$11.12
29.05
none
2025
34.39
$12.17
20.39
$50.22
Program year; benchmark yield in bu/acre; benchmark price $/bu; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.
Corn 2026 in Dooly County: Leans ARC-CO
Non-irrigated: no typical-farm verdict. FSA’s average PLC yield for the county (140.7 bu) covers all practices and is above this benchmark (113.09 bu), so it does not describe a typical farm here. Run your own PLC yield below.
Irrigated, 2026: Leans ARC-CO: expected about $5.44 more per base acre; PLC did not pay more in any of the 11 years, but the gap is within the normal swing (expected $1.00 PLC vs $6.44 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 0 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 4).
PLC pays on any season-average price below $4.42, up to $239.19 per base acre at the $2.42 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $114.95 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 4 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $4.70, PLC is expected to pay $1.00 and ARC-CO $6.44 per base acre.
2027: Leans ARC-CO: expected about $26.36 more per base acre; but the gap is within the normal swing, so PLC is a defensible choice (expected $10.93 PLC vs $37.28 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 1 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 3). The 2027 view uses FSA’s 2026 benchmark; FSA posts 2027 later.
For a typical farm: FSA’s county average PLC yield 140.7 bu (program year 2025) and the official 224.05 bu benchmark. That PLC yield is FSA’s average over all practices, irrigated and not; an irrigated farm’s own is often higher. County yields from this county’s own FSA yields. Run your own numbers in the calculator below.
Average PLC yield on enrolled corn base in this county: 140.7 bu (FSA, program year 2025). Your farm’s own is on the FSA-156EZ.
Irrigated: official 2026 ARC-CO benchmark
Benchmark yield (FSA)224.05 bu
Benchmark price 2026$5.03
Benchmark revenue$1,126.97/ac
Guarantee (90%)$1,014.27/ac
Max payment (12%)$135.24/ac
Max per base acre (×85%)$114.95
FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 249.71 · 2021: 254.82 (dropped) · 2022: 195.48 · 2023: 226.95 · 2024: 185.19 (dropped) (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 224.05 bu.
At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($4.42/bu), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the
county yield comes in below 229.5 bu, reaching its cap below 198.9 bu.
PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 224.05 bu county yield, 2026 prices
PLC yield, % of your official benchmark
Which pays more, by season-average price
60% 134.4 bu
PLC pays more at $3.41 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.42 to $4.52. Neither pays at $4.53 or higher.
70% 156.8 bu
PLC pays more at $3.55 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.56 to $4.52. Neither pays at $4.53 or higher.
80% 179.2 bu
PLC pays more at $3.66 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.67 to $4.52. Neither pays at $4.53 or higher.
90% 201.6 bu
PLC pays more at $3.74 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.75 to $4.52. Neither pays at $4.53 or higher.
100% 224.1 bu
PLC pays more at $3.81 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.82 to $4.52. Neither pays at $4.53 or higher.
FSA history, irrigated
Year
Benchmark
Price
County yield
ARC-CO $/ac
2021
236.91
$3.70
239.92
none
2022
239.07
$3.70
183.56
none
2023
242.11
$3.98
218.01
none
2024
240.07
$4.85
179.23
$116.43
2025
235.28
$5.03
197.76
$142.02
Program year; benchmark yield in bu/acre; benchmark price $/bu; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.
Non-irrigated: official 2026 ARC-CO benchmark
Benchmark yield (FSA)113.09 bu
Benchmark price 2026$5.03
Benchmark revenue$568.84/ac
Guarantee (90%)$511.96/ac
Max payment (12%)$68.26/ac
Max per base acre (×85%)$58.02
FSA trend-adjusted county yields (county yield or 80% of T-yield): 2020: 126.68 · 2021: 147.58 (dropped) · 2022: 92.32 (dropped) · 2023: 107.24 · 2024: 105.36 (struck: high and low). Middle three average: 113.09 bu.
At a season-average price equal to the 2026 effective reference price ($4.42/bu), PLC pays nothing and ARC-CO pays when the
county yield comes in below 115.8 bu, reaching its cap below 100.4 bu.
PLC vs ARC-CO break-even at a 113.09 bu county yield, 2026 prices
PLC yield, % of your official benchmark
Which pays more, by season-average price
60% 67.9 bu
PLC pays more at $3.41 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.42 to $4.52. Neither pays at $4.53 or higher.
70% 79.2 bu
PLC pays more at $3.55 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.56 to $4.52. Neither pays at $4.53 or higher.
80% 90.5 bu
PLC pays more at $3.66 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.67 to $4.52. Neither pays at $4.53 or higher.
90% 101.8 bu
PLC pays more at $3.74 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.75 to $4.52. Neither pays at $4.53 or higher.
100% 113.1 bu
PLC pays more at $3.81 or lower. ARC-CO pays more from $3.82 to $4.52. Neither pays at $4.53 or higher.
FSA history, non-irrigated
Year
Benchmark
Price
County yield
ARC-CO $/ac
2021
105.00
$3.70
138.18
none
2022
116.32
$3.70
50.40
$40.51
2023
126.97
$3.98
88.91
$30.05
2024
120.13
$4.85
35.54
$58.26
2025
116.54
$5.03
87.90
$70.34
Program year; benchmark yield in bu/acre; benchmark price $/bu; actual county yield; ARC-CO payment rate per acre before the 85% factor. All from FSA’s files. Older program years use older windows and prices, so they are history, not this year’s benchmark.
Break-even prices are per base acre with both programs on 85% of base and 2026 prices. Your PLC yield is on the FSA-156EZ.
Run every number for your farm
Run your farm’s numbers
Run each crop on each FSA farm number separately. The election is made crop by crop, farm by farm.
FSA has separate irrigated and non-irrigated benchmarks here. A farm with both is weighted by its historical irrigated percentage on FSA’s records, not by what you plant this year.
From the FSA-156EZ. Base acres are not what you plant; each farm number has its own base.
On the FSA-156EZ for the farm. Each farm has its own.
Fills in from FSA’s official county file when we have it. You can type the number your county office gives you.
County average, not your farm. A normal year often comes in a bit above this.
USDA national season-average price for the marketing year, not your local cash price.
Goes on the printout and keeps each farm’s numbers apart on this device.
Loading FSA and USDA numbers for the calculator.
Questions about Dooly County
Should I pick ARC or PLC for seed cotton in Dooly County for 2026?
For a typical farm (irrigated): Leans PLC: expected about $28.99 more per base acre; ARC-CO did not pay more in any of the 11 years, but the gap is within the normal swing (expected $31.25 PLC vs $2.26 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 8 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 0). Capped at Leans: this crop borrows corn’s price swings. PLC pays on any season-average price below $0.4200, up to $214.41 per base acre at the $0.3000 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $125.32 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 2 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $0.4114, PLC is expected to pay $31.25 and ARC-CO $2.26 per base acre. Run your own PLC yield and base acres; the answer can change.
What is the ARC-CO benchmark yield for seed cotton in Dooly County?
FSA's official 2026 benchmark yield for seed cotton in Dooly County, Georgia is 2,849.93 lb (irrigated); 1,844.76 lb (non-irrigated). The 2026 benchmark price is $0.4311 per pound. FSA has not posted the 2027 benchmark.
Should I pick ARC or PLC for peanuts in Dooly County for 2026?
For a typical farm (irrigated): Leans PLC: expected about $97.74 more per base acre; ARC-CO did not pay more in any of the 11 years, but the gap is within the normal swing (expected $230.62 PLC vs $132.88 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 11 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 0). Capped at Leans: this crop borrows corn’s price swings. PLC pays on any season-average price below $0.3150, up to $368.99 per base acre at the $0.1950 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $153.12 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 11 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $0.2400, PLC is expected to pay $230.62 and ARC-CO $132.88 per base acre. Run your own PLC yield and base acres; the answer can change.
What is the ARC-CO benchmark yield for peanuts in Dooly County?
FSA's official 2026 benchmark yield for peanuts in Dooly County, Georgia is 4,765.72 lb (irrigated); 3,292.62 lb (non-irrigated). The 2026 benchmark price is $0.3150 per pound. FSA has not posted the 2027 benchmark.
Should I pick ARC or PLC for wheat in Dooly County for 2026?
For a typical farm (non-irrigated): Close, either one: about $1.20 apart, too small or too uncertain to call (expected $8.44 PLC vs $7.24 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 6 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 0). PLC pays on any season-average price below $6.35, up to $102.39 per base acre at the $3.72 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $33.74 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 6 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $6.30, PLC is expected to pay $8.44 and ARC-CO $7.24 per base acre. Run your own PLC yield and base acres; the answer can change.
What is the ARC-CO benchmark yield for wheat in Dooly County?
FSA's official 2026 benchmark yield for wheat in Dooly County, Georgia is 62.88 bu (irrigated); 47.39 bu (non-irrigated). The 2026 benchmark price is $6.98 per bushel. FSA has not posted the 2027 benchmark.
Should I pick ARC or PLC for soybeans in Dooly County for 2026?
For a typical farm (non-irrigated): Neither expected to pay (expected $0 PLC vs $0 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 0 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 0). PLC pays on any season-average price below $10.71, up to $83.99 per base acre at the $6.82 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $43.91 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 0 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $12.00, PLC is expected to pay $0 and ARC-CO $0 per base acre. Run your own PLC yield and base acres; the answer can change.
What is the ARC-CO benchmark yield for soybeans in Dooly County?
FSA's official 2026 benchmark yield for soybeans in Dooly County, Georgia is 50.36 bu (irrigated); 35.37 bu (non-irrigated). The 2026 benchmark price is $12.17 per bushel. FSA has not posted the 2027 benchmark.
Should I pick ARC or PLC for corn in Dooly County for 2026?
For a typical farm (irrigated): Leans ARC-CO: expected about $5.44 more per base acre; PLC did not pay more in any of the 11 years, but the gap is within the normal swing (expected $1.00 PLC vs $6.44 ARC-CO per base acre; PLC paid more in 0 of 11 past-year scenarios, ARC-CO in 4). PLC pays on any season-average price below $4.42, up to $239.19 per base acre at the $2.42 loan rate, so it protects against a deep price drop. ARC-CO is capped at $114.95 per base acre but also pays when the county’s yield is short; it paid something in 4 of the 11 past-year scenarios. With prices centered at $4.70, PLC is expected to pay $1.00 and ARC-CO $6.44 per base acre. Run your own PLC yield and base acres; the answer can change.
What is the ARC-CO benchmark yield for corn in Dooly County?
FSA's official 2026 benchmark yield for corn in Dooly County, Georgia is 224.05 bu (irrigated); 113.09 bu (non-irrigated). The 2026 benchmark price is $5.03 per bushel. FSA has not posted the 2027 benchmark.