This page grades our own next-session price calls. Looking for how outside forecasters did on USDA yield numbers? That is the analyst estimates board.
Every weekday the AGSIST Daily makes a forward call. The next morning's briefing grades it — in public, on the record. This is the complete list. Nothing edited, misses included.
34.2%
Hit rate
41–79–6
W – L – pending
none
Current win streak
120
Calls graded
Graded strict: right direction but level not hit still counts as a miss. A 34% hit rate on one-session level calls is the honest number, not the flattering one.
Oct 9, 11:00 a.m. Central: October WASDE — 2026/27 corn yield. See what the trade has priced in before the number drops.
How to read this: these are short directional reads from a free morning briefing, graded by the same briefing one session later. The misses are listed exactly like the hits — that's the point. Compiled automatically from the published briefing archive; nothing here can be edited after the fact.
Called beans up through $13.30. Beans closed Friday at $12.99, down 24 cents on the day. The call did not play out.
The WASDE was the miss. The September supply number was bearish enough to flush length, and the funds sold rather than held. Wrong direction, wrong read on the report.
Called wheat up toward $7.68; wheat closed today at $7.54, dropping 20.5 cents and moving sharply the wrong direction.
Wheat going from lead yesterday to the session's biggest loser today is the market reminding you that direction calls on range-bound contracts earn their misses.
Called crude down, toward below $81.50. Crude closed flat at $80.29 today, already well below $81.50 coming in, so the level was already breached before the session opened.
Crude held below $81.50 but printed no new directional move today; the call resolved the level but not a fresh leg lower.
Called corn down toward $4.95 ($4.8375 when the call was made). It closed at $4.915.
Showing the latest 25 of 120 graded calls (6 pending) — the full record loads on this page with JavaScript, and every briefing is readable in the archive.
Common questions
What is the AGSIST Call Scorecard?
Every weekday the AGSIST Daily briefing makes a forward call about the next session. The following morning's briefing grades it — played out, didn't, or pending. The scorecard is the complete, dated record of those calls and outcomes, misses included.
Can past calls be edited?
No. The scorecard is compiled automatically from the same published archive JSON that renders each day's briefing page. The grading text readers saw on publish day is the grading text shown here.
Is this trading advice?
No. The calls are short directional reads in a free morning briefing, published for context. They are not financial or trading advice — verify prices with your elevator or broker before making marketing decisions.
How It Works
Each morning's briefing ends with a forward look at the next session. The next published briefing opens by grading it: played out, didn't, or pending when the verdict isn't in yet. That grading block has shipped on every briefing since late April 2026, and this page is simply those blocks collected in one place — the call, the date it was made, the date it was judged, and the one-line reasoning readers saw that morning.
Hit rate counts graded calls only (pending excluded). The streak is consecutive graded wins ending at the most recent graded call.
Incident note (Aug 4, 2026): a date-handling bug from Jun 26 to Aug 4 caused the morning grading text to score the wrong session in some briefings. Outcomes from Jun 24 on are re-scored against the actual prior-day call and closes, and any row where that re-score changed the published grade says so inline. The bug is fixed; the original morning text stays as published — that's the deal.
Two eras, and they do not read the same (Aug 8, 2026). Calls before Jun 24 could only be graded by the briefing's own account of itself, because no structured call was stored to check against. From Jun 24 on, every call is recomputed from the stated instrument, direction and level against the actual closes. Those two sets are not comparable, and blending them flattered the record: self-graded, 26 of 36 (72.2%). Machine-checked, 15 of 84 (17.9%). The combined figure above is both together. The machine-checked number is the one that can be verified, and it is the one to judge this briefing on — it is also a hard number to look at, which is exactly why it is here.
Twenty-three rows describe a different call than the one graded (Aug 8, 2026). During the bug window the morning write-up sometimes discussed one market while the grade scored the call actually made the day before. Those rows now show the call that was really scored, built from the stored instrument, direction and level, and say so underneath. The original wording is still in that day's briefing, unedited.
What This Is Not
Not a trading system, not a signal service, and not advice. A one-session directional read is the lowest-stakes call in markets — the value here isn't the percentage, it's that the record exists at all, in public, with the losses left in. Verify prices with your elevator or broker before making marketing decisions.
Not financial or trading advice. Compiled automatically from the AGSIST Daily archive. Questions: sig@farmers1st.com · 715-797-2428.