AGSIST DAILY · ARCHIVE
Wednesday, November 4, 2026
! Cautious

Soybeans fall to new lows; four tankers hit mines near Hormuz

!Overnight surprises: Silver UP 4.9% / Gold UP 2.8%

Jan soybeans are at $12.03¼ overnight, down 10¾ cents from Tuesday's $12.14 settle, a fresh low for this slide. Four oil tankers hit mines south of the Strait of Hormuz, Iran's Revolutionary Guard said, and WTI is still $95.38.

Only on AGSIST

  1. On Tuesday, Nov 3, 1,748 of the 1,783 elevators AGSIST reads with the same delivery month both days posted a lower cash corn bid than Monday, 30 a higher one; 217 changed their basis, 11 weaker and 206 stronger.

    5 unchanged; median change 8¢ lower. Biggest state move: Iowa, 8¢ lower (385 elevators).

  2. On Tuesday, Nov 3, 1,514 of the 1,547 elevators AGSIST reads with the same delivery month both days posted a lower cash soybean bid than Monday, 32 a higher one; 316 changed their basis, 25 weaker and 291 stronger.

    1 unchanged; median change 17¢ lower. Biggest state move: Illinois, 17½¢ lower (187 elevators). 1 outlier left out.

  3. Corn basis on Nov 4 ran from 55¢ over December futures in Texas to 90¢ under in North Dakota, state medians of the elevators AGSIST read at 5:27 a.m. CT.

    Median of 17 elevators in Texas, 47 in North Dakota. 15 states with 15 or more. USDA's North Dakota average on Nov 3: 89 under Dec (USDA AMS, North Dakota Daily Grain Bids, Nov 3, 2026).

Counted by code from the elevator boards AGSIST reads itself, not by the writer of this briefing. A day's change is each board's last posted bid against its own on the trading day before, same delivery period. Quote it with the date and a link to agsist.com/daily/2026-11-04. How this briefing is made · Monthly: AGSIST Cash Bid Index

Last trades as of 5:46 AM CT Wed, not the settle · change vs Tue settle · Yahoo Finance, delayed
THE NUMBER
92 to 94
cents over December, Gulf corn export bids
USDA AMS shows Gulf barge CIF corn bids at 92 to 94 over Dec on Nov 3.
Beans make new lows
  • Jan soybeans are at $12.03¼ overnight, down 10¾ cents, and Dec corn is at $4.40½, down 2 cents from Tuesday's $4.42½ settle.
Big sales to Mexico did not hold the bean market up.
Cattle slip, hogs edge up
  • Dec live cattle settled Tuesday at $218.15, down 0.7%, and Nov feeders fell 1.2% to $334.52½.
  • Packers killed about 110,000 head Tuesday, below the 119,374 of a year ago.
Slower kills leave packers with less need to pay up.
Crude holds near $95
  • WTI is at $95.38 overnight, down 0.7% from Tuesday's $96.09 settle, after a four-week low on Tuesday.
The diesel squeeze looks longer than the crude price.
TODAY'S WATCH LIST
  • Thursday, Nov 5, 7:30 a.m. CTUSDA Export Sales. Soybean sales near recent weeks would fit the Mexico buying story; a weak number would add pressure.
  • OngoingJan soybeans holding above $12.00 would say the slide is slowing; a break under it would extend the low.
  • Tuesday, Nov 10, 11:00 a.m. CTWASDE. Corn ending stocks above 1.849 billion bushels would weigh on Dec corn near $4.40.
OUTSIDE THE PITNot moving prices today, but worth knowing.
MACRO
Iran's Revolutionary Guard reported the losses Wednesday, which keeps fuel and fertilizer supply risk on the table.
Source: oilprice.com
INPUTS
Asia's refined product imports remain weak, which could keep diesel costs high through next season.
Source: oilprice.com
DISEASE
APHIS is working with state officials on additional on-farm investigations, a new concern for Midwest dairy producers.
Source: feedstuffs.com
GRAINS
Farmdoc explains how October futures settlements set the harvest prices used for corn and soybean revenue coverage.
Source: farmdocdaily.illinois.edu
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CME futures quotes, USDA AMS market reports, USDA calendar, Oilprice.com, Feedstuffs, AgWeb, Farmdoc Daily · Compiled 5:47 AM CT Wed