AGSIST DAILY · ARCHIVE
Monday, November 2, 2026
↔ Mixed

Crude drops 4.6% to $99.38; cattle futures fell Friday

!Overnight surprises: Feeder Cattle DN 2.5% / Live Cattle DN 2.4% / WTI Crude Oil DN 4.6% / S&P 500 DN 1.8%

Crude fell 4.6% to $99.38 on hopes for a US-Iran peace deal, which lets the harvest diesel bill ease for now. Cattle already gave back 2.4% Friday, so a feeder buyer is paying less than a week ago.

Only on AGSIST

  1. On Friday, Oct 30, 1,677 of the 1,778 elevators AGSIST reads posted a lower cash corn bid than Thursday, 84 a higher one; 160 changed their basis, 39 weaker and 121 stronger.

    17 unchanged; median change 3¢ lower. Biggest state move: Iowa, 3¢ lower (392 elevators).

  2. On Friday, Oct 30, 1,164 of the 1,538 elevators AGSIST reads posted a lower cash soybean bid than Thursday, 292 a higher one; 415 changed their basis, 350 weaker and 65 stronger.

    82 unchanged; median change 1¢ lower. Biggest state move: Nebraska, 3¢ lower (184 elevators).

  3. Corn basis on Nov 2 ran from 55¢ over December futures in Texas to 90¢ under in North Dakota, state medians of the elevators AGSIST read at 4:16 a.m. CT.

    Elevators behind each median: Texas 17, North Dakota 47. 14 states with 15 or more.

Counted by code from the elevator boards AGSIST reads itself, not by the writer of this briefing. A day's change is each board's last posted bid against its own on the trading day before, same delivery period. Quote it with the date and a link to agsist.com/daily/2026-11-02. How this briefing is made · Monthly: AGSIST Cash Bid Index

Last trades as of 5:45 AM CT Mon, not the settle · change vs Fri settle · Yahoo Finance, delayed
THE NUMBER
$105
Goldman's December Brent forecast
Goldman Sachs raised its December Brent forecast to $105, nearly 17% higher than before, even as crude slid this morning.
Crude slides on Iran talk
  • WTI is at $99.38 overnight, down 4.6%, after reports of Iran-Qatar mediation talks over the weekend.
  • Oilprice.com noted a fall in oil last month on Hormuz news did not last, so this dip may not either.
Diesel costs have moved with crude, so watch whether the dip holds.
Cattle futures fall hard Friday
  • December live cattle settled Friday at $220.95, down 2.4%, and November feeders fell 2.5% to $337.775.
  • AgWeb asked whether the drop is more than a healthy correction. Livestock has no overnight session, so the next test is today's open.
Both contracts gave back the prior week's gains in one day.
Grains edge up
  • December corn is at $4.50½ overnight, up 2¾ cents from Friday's $4.47¾ settle.
  • November soybeans are at $12.21½, down ¾ cent. Gulke called the grain market a free fall last week.
Small moves after a soft week; nothing new in the news.
TODAY'S WATCH LIST
  • Today 3:00 p.m. CTUSDA Crop Progress. Harvest pace shows how much corn and beans are still in the field.
  • OngoingWTI back above $104 would mean the Iran peace dip is already fading.
  • Thursday, Nov 5, 7:30 a.m. CTExport sales. Soybean sales to China matter most given the slow-buying story.
OUTSIDE THE PITNot moving prices today, but worth knowing.
TRADE
Reuters reports China is behind on the $17 billion yearly purchase pledge, a pressure point for US export demand.
Source: Reuters
DISEASE
USDA confirmed the first Arizona case, and the parasite's westward spread continues to threaten US cattle.
Source: Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service (.gov)
INPUTS
Agri-Pulse reports states are being asked to ease dyed diesel rules, which touches fuel costs during harvest.
Source: Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.
$Your local elevator bids →
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CME Group, ICE, Reuters, Oilprice.com, AgWeb, USDA · Compiled 5:48 AM CT Mon