AGSIST DAILY · ISSUE #189 — ARCHIVE
! Cautious
Thursday, September 17, 2026
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FARM BILL MOVES; EXPORT SALES PRINT AT 7:30

THE ACTION

New-crop beans: if Export Sales top 600K MT and Nov '26 closes above $13.42, price the first 10%.

The Senate Ag Committee broke its August deadlock Wednesday, advancing Farm Bill 2.0 on a 12-11 vote -- the first real legislative movement since the Aug 6 party-line failure. Beans settled at $13.26, off 3.5 cents, leaving the Nov contract a dime short of the level that would have triggered new-crop pricing for most operations.

Corn$5.34
Soybeans$13.26
Wheat$7.25
THE NUMBER
12-11
Senate Ag Committee vote, Farm Bill 2.0
The bill failed on a party-line vote Aug 6. Wednesday's McConnell-backed 12-11 advance puts it on the Senate floor ahead of the Sep 30 extension deadline.
DAILY QUOTE

“Coming together is a beginning; keeping together is progress; working together is success.”

Attributed to Henry Ford
↺ YESTERDAY'S CALL DIDN'T
Called soybeans up toward $13.35 ($13.285 when the call was made). It closed at $13.2625.
Miss; beans settled $13.26, a dime short of $13.35, and the chart stalled at the week's high.
EXPORT SALES IN FOCUSMEDIUM CONVICTION
  • Beans at $13.26 are at 98% of their 52-week range with no new demand catalyst overnight; the 7:30 CT Export Sales print is the only thing that can confirm this level or knock it back.
Export Sales at 7:30 either confirms the level or sends beans hunting support.
CRUDE EASES; DIESEL STORY DEEPENSMEDIUM CONVICTION
  • Crude fell to $100.67, off 1.6%, after Saudi Arabia confirmed it will reroute crude exports via Oman while the East-West pipeline is repaired, removing the acute supply-disruption fear that had kept the bid alive.
Crude off its high, but diesel tightness is the real input-cost story for harvest.
TODAY'S WATCH LIST
  • 7:30 AM CT todayExport Sales: beans above 600K MT confirms demand; below 300K MT hands the chart back to the funds.
  • Sep 30Farm Bill deadline: full Senate floor vote is the next gate; no vote means another extension, not a bill.
  • Aug 24 (passed) / ongoingScrewworm port reopening at Douglas, AZ: feeder supply returning; watch the feeder/live spread for the signal.
OUTSIDE THE PITNews not moving prices today but in the calculus.
POLICY
Senate Ag Advances Farm Bill 2.0 on 12-11 Vote
The Aug 6 party-line failure is off the books.
Written by Sigurd Lindquist, founder. Reply at sig@farmers1st.com — I read everything.
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USDA NASS, CME Group, Feedstuffs, OilPrice.com, Drovers, Fence Post, World Grain, No-Till Farmer · Auto-compiled at 6:02 AM CT
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