๐Ÿšข Export Sales Tracker

USDA weekly export sales data โ€ข Track grain demand from the world's largest buyers

๐ŸŒฝ

Corn Exports

Marketing Year: Sep 1 - Aug 31 โ€ข US exports ~2.4 billion bushels annually (~15% of production)
View Weekly Data โ†’

๐ŸŒ Top Corn Buyers

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ
Mexico
#1 buyer, ~700M bu/yr
๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต
Japan
#2 buyer, ~400M bu/yr
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ
China
Variable, 0-500M bu
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ด
Colombia
Growing market
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท
S. Korea
Feed corn demand

๐Ÿ“‹ Key Corn Export Facts

Gulf Export Basis+$0.40-0.80/bu over futures
PNW Export Basis+$0.50-1.00/bu over futures
Flash Sale Threshold100,000+ MT in 1 day
Top Competitor๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท Brazil (2nd season)
Peak ShipmentsOct-Mar (post-harvest)
๐Ÿซ˜

Soybean Exports

Marketing Year: Sep 1 - Aug 31 โ€ข US exports ~1.7 billion bushels annually (~40% of production)
View Weekly Data โ†’

๐ŸŒ Top Soybean Buyers

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ
China
#1 by far, ~1B bu/yr
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ
EU
~100M bu/yr
๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ
Mexico
Growing demand
๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต
Japan
Food-grade premium
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌ
Egypt
Soybean oil demand

๐Ÿ“‹ Key Soybean Export Facts

China Dependency~60% of all US soy exports
Gulf Basis+$0.30-0.70/bu over futures
Peak SeasonOct-Feb (US harvest)
Off-SeasonMar-Aug (Brazil ships)
Top Competitor๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท Brazil (#1 globally)
๐ŸŒพ

Wheat Exports

Marketing Year: Jun 1 - May 31 โ€ข US exports ~800 million bushels annually (~40-50% of production)
View Weekly Data โ†’

๐ŸŒ Top Wheat Buyers

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ
Mexico
#1 buyer
๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต
Japan
Premium classes
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ
Philippines
Growing demand
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท
S. Korea
Feed wheat
๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฌ
Nigeria
HRW demand

๐Ÿ“‹ Key Wheat Export Facts

US Export ClassesHRW, SRW, HRS, SW, Durum
Gulf vs PNWHRW=Gulf, HRS/SW=PNW
Global Competitors๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Russia, ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada, ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Aus
US Global Share~12% (was 30% in 1990s)
Peak ShipmentsJul-Dec (post-harvest)

๐Ÿ“š How Exports Affect YOUR Grain Price

๐ŸŽฏ Bottom Line: Export demand is a key driver of futures prices and local basis. When exports are strong, basis strengthens and cash prices rise. When exports slow, basis weakens.
Export SignalEffect on FuturesEffect on BasisWhat To Do
Flash Sale AnnouncedUsually bullish (+5-15ยข)Gulf basis firmsConsider selling into strength
Weekly Sales Above PaceSupportiveStable to firmerMonitor for selling opportunities
Weekly Sales Below PaceBearish pressureMay softenWait for demand improvement
Large CancellationOften bearish (-5-20ยข)Can weakenReassess marketing plan
China Buys (Soybeans)Very bullishStrongMajor sell signal if large
Brazil Harvest StartsSeasonal pressureTypically weakensSell US beans before Feb/Mar

๐Ÿ“Š Understanding the Weekly Export Sales Report

Net Sales

New commitments minus cancellations. Positive = new demand. Compare to weekly pace needed to meet USDA projection.

Exports (Shipments)

Grain that actually left the US that week. Compare to outstanding sales to gauge pipeline fullness.

Outstanding Sales

Grain sold but not yet shipped. High outstanding = future demand locked in. Low = risk of missing USDA target.

๐Ÿ“„ Weekly Export Reports

Official USDA FAS

๐Ÿ”— Trade Data Resources