๐ข Export Sales Tracker
USDA weekly export sales data โข Track grain demand from the world's largest buyers
๐ฝ
Corn Exports
Marketing Year: Sep 1 - Aug 31 โข US exports ~2.4 billion bushels annually (~15% of production)
๐ Top Corn Buyers
๐ฒ๐ฝ
Mexico
#1 buyer, ~700M bu/yr
๐ฏ๐ต
Japan
#2 buyer, ~400M bu/yr
๐จ๐ณ
China
Variable, 0-500M bu
๐จ๐ด
Colombia
Growing market
๐ฐ๐ท
S. Korea
Feed corn demand
๐ Key Corn Export Facts
Gulf Export Basis+$0.40-0.80/bu over futures
PNW Export Basis+$0.50-1.00/bu over futures
Flash Sale Threshold100,000+ MT in 1 day
Top Competitor๐ง๐ท Brazil (2nd season)
Peak ShipmentsOct-Mar (post-harvest)
๐ซ
Soybean Exports
Marketing Year: Sep 1 - Aug 31 โข US exports ~1.7 billion bushels annually (~40% of production)
๐ Top Soybean Buyers
๐จ๐ณ
China
#1 by far, ~1B bu/yr
๐ช๐บ
EU
~100M bu/yr
๐ฒ๐ฝ
Mexico
Growing demand
๐ฏ๐ต
Japan
Food-grade premium
๐ช๐ฌ
Egypt
Soybean oil demand
๐ Key Soybean Export Facts
China Dependency~60% of all US soy exports
Gulf Basis+$0.30-0.70/bu over futures
Peak SeasonOct-Feb (US harvest)
Off-SeasonMar-Aug (Brazil ships)
Top Competitor๐ง๐ท Brazil (#1 globally)
๐พ
Wheat Exports
Marketing Year: Jun 1 - May 31 โข US exports ~800 million bushels annually (~40-50% of production)
๐ Top Wheat Buyers
๐ฒ๐ฝ
Mexico
#1 buyer
๐ฏ๐ต
Japan
Premium classes
๐ต๐ญ
Philippines
Growing demand
๐ฐ๐ท
S. Korea
Feed wheat
๐ณ๐ฌ
Nigeria
HRW demand
๐ Key Wheat Export Facts
US Export ClassesHRW, SRW, HRS, SW, Durum
Gulf vs PNWHRW=Gulf, HRS/SW=PNW
Global Competitors๐ท๐บ Russia, ๐จ๐ฆ Canada, ๐ฆ๐บ Aus
US Global Share~12% (was 30% in 1990s)
Peak ShipmentsJul-Dec (post-harvest)
๐ How Exports Affect YOUR Grain Price
๐ฏ Bottom Line: Export demand is a key driver of futures prices and local basis. When exports are strong, basis strengthens and cash prices rise. When exports slow, basis weakens.
| Export Signal | Effect on Futures | Effect on Basis | What To Do |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flash Sale Announced | Usually bullish (+5-15ยข) | Gulf basis firms | Consider selling into strength |
| Weekly Sales Above Pace | Supportive | Stable to firmer | Monitor for selling opportunities |
| Weekly Sales Below Pace | Bearish pressure | May soften | Wait for demand improvement |
| Large Cancellation | Often bearish (-5-20ยข) | Can weaken | Reassess marketing plan |
| China Buys (Soybeans) | Very bullish | Strong | Major sell signal if large |
| Brazil Harvest Starts | Seasonal pressure | Typically weakens | Sell US beans before Feb/Mar |
๐ Understanding the Weekly Export Sales Report
Net Sales
New commitments minus cancellations. Positive = new demand. Compare to weekly pace needed to meet USDA projection.
Exports (Shipments)
Grain that actually left the US that week. Compare to outstanding sales to gauge pipeline fullness.
Outstanding Sales
Grain sold but not yet shipped. High outstanding = future demand locked in. Low = risk of missing USDA target.
๐ Weekly Export Reports
Official USDA FAS๐
Weekly Export Sales
Current week net sales & shipments
View Report โ๐
Marketing Year Totals
Cumulative sales vs USDA projection
View Report โ๐
Outstanding Sales
Unshipped commitments by country
View Report โโก
Sales Highlights
Flash sales & notable transactions
View Report โ
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Report Schedule: Export Sales reports release every Thursday at 8:30 AM ET, covering the prior Friday-Thursday week. Flash sales (100,000+ MT to one destination) are reported within 24 hours.